Corinthians
vs
Estudiantes L.P.
0 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Breno Bidon | ||
| 41′ | Tiago Tomas Palacios | ||
| 45′ | Leandro Gonzalez Pirez | ||
| 64′ | Joaquín CorreaFabricio Pérez | ||
| 69′ | André CarrilloAndré | ||
| 76′ | Baltasar Gallego RodriguezGabriel Neves | ||
| 76′ | Joaquín Tobio BurgosEdwuin Cetre | ||
| 87′ | Alexis Castro | ||
| 90′ | AllanGui Negão | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel PaulistaPedro Raul | ||
| 90′ | Breno BidonJesse Lingard | ||
| 90′ | Eros Nazareno MancusoEric Meza | ||
| 90′ | Fabricio PérezRamiro Funes Mori | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo Garro |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 386 | Accurate passes | 279 |
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
| Probability | Corinthians | Draw | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.7% | 33.1% | 35.2% |
| Market | 47.6% | 31.4% | 21.0% |
| Final | 43.6% | 31.8% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -15.9% | +1.7% | +14.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Corinthians and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Corinthians and Estudiantes L.P. attack and defence ratings
Corinthians
Estudiantes L.P.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.: result vs prediction
Corinthians 0 – 1 Estudiantes L.P.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corinthians | 43.6% | 2.29 | -15.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corinthians | 43.6% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Estudiantes L.P. | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Corinthians win | 12.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 68.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 0-1 | 12.3% |
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. stats
Corinthians and Estudiantes L.P. recent form
| Corinthians |
LDLLLW |
| Estudiantes L.P. |
WDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Corinthians and Estudiantes L.P. going into this match
Corinthians record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Estudiantes L.P. record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Estudiantes L.P. | Corinthians | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-30 | Estudiantes L.P. | Corinthians | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-23 | Corinthians | Estudiantes L.P. | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 31.4%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.14 | 4.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.10 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 2.88 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.04 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.05 | 4.65 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 2.76 | 3.76 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .