CONMEBOL Libertadores
·
Full time
·Quarter-finals
Fluminense
vs
Platense
2 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | Nonato | ||
| 31′ | Hulk | ||
| 58′ | G. TogniB. Merlini | ||
| 59′ | G. MaineroJ. Gauto | ||
| 60′ | PH GansoL. Acosta | ||
| 67′ | Víctor Cuesta | ||
| 77′ | MartinelliHercules | ||
| 77′ | Y. SoteldoJ. Savarino | ||
| 77′ | HulkG. Cano | ||
| 79′ | Jefferson David Savarino Quintero | ||
| 84′ | K. RetamarF. Zapiola | ||
| 84′ | B. SepulvedaA. Lotti | ||
| 90′ | Gustavo Nonato Santana | ||
| 90′ | ReneGuilherme Arana |
Fluminense
55%
Draw
28%
Platense
16%
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 536 | Accurate passes | 291 |
Fluminense vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fluminense vs Platense
| Probability | Fluminense | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.6% | 28.6% | 17.8% |
| Market | 55.8% | 28.4% | 15.8% |
| Final | 55.3% | 28.5% | 16.3% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +0.2% | +2.0% |
Why Fluminense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Fluminense and Platense expected goals
Fluminense
1.50
Platense
0.76
Total expected goals: 2.25
Fluminense and Platense attack and defence ratings
Fluminense
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Platense
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fluminense vs Platense: result vs prediction
Fluminense 2 – 0 Platense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Fluminense vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fluminense | 55.3% | 1.81 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fluminense | 55.3% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Platense | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fluminense win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 46.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
Fluminense vs Platense stats
Fluminense and Platense recent form
| Fluminense |
WDWDWD |
| Platense |
DLDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fluminense and Platense going into this match
Fluminense record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Platense record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Fluminense vs Platense head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fluminense vs Platense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 28.4%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.74 | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.40 | 6.17 |
| 888Sport | 1.65 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.25 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.35 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.30 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.43 | 6.00 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.10 | 5.13 |
| Superbet | 1.72 | 3.35 | 5.80 |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.10 | 5.50 |