CONMEBOL Libertadores
·
Full time
·Quarter-finals
Fluminense
vs
Platense
2 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | Julian Millan | ||
| 13′ | Ignacio Vazquez | ||
| 30′ | Guido Mainero | ||
| 45′ | Bruno Christian Sepulveda | ||
| 57′ | Agustín Canobbio | ||
| 61′ | Agustin Lagos | ||
| 63′ | Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima | ||
| 72′ | Yeferson SoteldoKevin Serna | ||
| 75′ | Bautista MerliniFranco Zapiola Yamartino | ||
| 79′ | Paulo Henrique Chagas de LimaLuciano Acosta | ||
| 80′ | Guido MaineroJuan Carlos Gauto | ||
| 90′ | Hércules Pereira do NascimentoOtávio Henrique Passos Santos | ||
| 90′ | Agustín CanobbioGuilherme Arana | ||
| 90′ | HulkRodrigo Castillo | ||
| 90′ | Juan Carlos Gauto |
Fluminense
40%
Draw
31%
Platense
29%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 0 | Corners | 12 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 284 | Accurate passes | 318 |
Fluminense vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fluminense vs Platense
| Probability | Fluminense | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 25.0% | 14.9% |
| Market | 33.1% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| Final | 39.9% | 30.8% | 29.3% |
| Edge | +27.0% | -7.7% | -19.3% |
Why Fluminense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fluminense below the model: +27.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Fluminense and Platense expected goals
Fluminense
1.77
Platense
0.77
Total expected goals: 2.55
Fluminense and Platense attack and defence ratings
Fluminense
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Platense
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fluminense vs Platense: result vs prediction
Fluminense 2 – 1 Platense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Fluminense vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fluminense | 39.9% | 2.51 | +27.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fluminense | 39.9% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Platense | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fluminense win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.8% |
| 2-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Fluminense vs Platense stats
Fluminense and Platense recent form
| Fluminense |
LWWDWD |
| Platense |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fluminense and Platense going into this match
Fluminense record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Platense record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Fluminense vs Platense head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1Fluminense wins
0Draws
0Platense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fluminense | Platense | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fluminense vs Platense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 32.7%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.00 | 2.78 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.00 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 2.92 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11 | 2.80 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 2.78 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 |