Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.

2 – 1 Full time

13′Gonzalo Thomás Lobos
25′Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
31′Felipe Peña BiaforeDiego Agustín Medina
60′Eduardo Salvio
60′Joaquín Tobio BurgosEdwuin Cetre
60′Alexis CastroBaltasar Gallego Rodriguez
64′Lucas Agustín BesozziGonzalo German Perez Corbalan
64′Allan Steven Wlk DuréYoshan Valois
73′Fabricio PérezGuido Carrillo
73′Lucas PioviJalil Elias
80′Gonzalo Thomás LobosMarcelino Moreno
80′Eduardo SalvioThiago laplace
83′Sasha Julian Marcich
84′Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
86′Gastón BenedettiBrian Aguirre
90′Eric Meza
90′Yoshan Valois

Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos AiresReferee: Nicolas Ramirez

Lanus 41%
Draw 32%
Estudiantes L.P. 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 5
40 Possession % 60
1 Corners 8
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
4 Saves 1
300 Accurate passes 481

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLanusDrawEstudiantes L.P.
Model31.7%32.2%36.0%
Market43.8%31.4%24.8%
Final40.8%31.6%27.6%
Edge-12.1%+0.8%+11.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lanus ↓ / Estudiantes L. → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 12% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Lanus and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals

Lanus 1.03
Estudiantes L.P. 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.14

Lanus and Estudiantes L.P. attack and defence ratings

Lanus

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.: result vs prediction

Lanus 2 – 1 Estudiantes L.P.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lanus 40.8% 2.45 -12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.3% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lanus40.8%
Draw31.6%
Estudiantes L.P.27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.2%
Under 2.563.8%
Both teams to scoreYes44.5%
No55.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)68.4%
X2 (draw or away)59.2%
Handicap -1Lanus win12.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss68.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.1%
0-111.7%

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. stats

Lanus and Estudiantes L.P. recent form

newest first
Lanus WWLDLW
Estudiantes L.P. WWDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lanus and Estudiantes L.P. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lanus record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Estudiantes L.P. record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 26 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Lanus wins 3Draws 3Estudiantes L.P. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-13Estudiantes L.P.LanusLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2024-05-25LanusEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina2-1
2024-04-17LanusEstudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional1-2
2023-11-27Estudiantes L.P.LanusCopa de la Liga Profesional1-1
2023-02-13Estudiantes L.P.LanusLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2022-10-10Estudiantes L.P.LanusLiga Profesional Argentina3-1
2022-02-19Estudiantes L.P.LanusLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2021-11-06LanusEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-1
2020-03-01LanusEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 31.4%, away 24.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 3.08 3.92
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.90
BetVictor 2.15 3.00 3.80
Betano 2.18 3.00 3.85
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.70
Marathonbet 2.12 2.96 3.76
Pinnacle 2.17 3.05 3.97
SBO 2.15 2.88 3.35
William Hill 2.10 2.90 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 —
X 3.00 ▼ -0.08
2 3.80 ▲ +0.14

14 snapshots recorded, from .