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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Tigre vs Rosario Central

0 – 1 Full time

4′Mauro Méndez
44′Santiago Lopez Grobin
58′Valentín Moreno
60′Ángel Di María
64′Emanuel Coronel
68′Mauro MéndezJerónimo Domina
68′Jaminton CampazGiovanni Ismael Cantizano
68′Jabes SaraleguiTiago Serrago
76′Emanuel Coronel
81′Ángel Di MaríaGaspar Duarte
81′Álan RodríguezElías Enzo Verón
81′Valentín MorenoBruno Javier Leyes Sosa
81′Santiago GonzalezIan Subiabre
89′Vicente PizarroFederico Navarro
89′Franco IbarraGuillermo Fernandez
90′Alan Barrionuevo
90′Guillermo Fernandez

Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos AiresReferee: Andres Merlos, Argentina

Tigre 33%
Draw 33%
Rosario Central 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
42 Possession % 58
4 Corners 4
13 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
6 Saves 3
246 Accurate passes 388

Tigre vs Rosario Central overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tigre vs Rosario Central

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTigreDrawRosario Central
Model41.5%34.3%24.1%
Market30.0%33.2%36.8%
Final32.9%33.5%33.7%
Edge+11.5%+1.1%-12.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tigre ↓ / Rosario Centra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 11% 1 16% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Tigre and Rosario Central expected goals

Tigre 1.09
Rosario Central 0.76

Total expected goals: 1.85

Tigre and Rosario Central attack and defence ratings

Tigre

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Rosario Central

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tigre vs Rosario Central: result vs prediction

Tigre 0 – 1 Rosario Central

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Tigre vs Rosario Central markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosario Central 33.7% 2.97 -12.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.7% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 67.1% 1.49 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 75.9% 1.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tigre32.9%
Draw33.5%
Rosario Central33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.3%
Under 2.571.7%
Both teams to scoreYes36.7%
No63.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)66.5%
X2 (draw or away)67.1%
Handicap -1Rosario Central win7.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss75.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.0%
1-015.8%
1-114.3%

Tigre vs Rosario Central stats

Tigre and Rosario Central recent form

newest first
Tigre LDWLDL
Rosario Central DLDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tigre and Rosario Central going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tigre record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Rosario Central record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tigre vs Rosario Central head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Tigre wins 4Draws 2Rosario Central wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Rosario CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-05-21Rosario CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2023-02-03TigreRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2022-08-08TigreRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina3-1
2022-04-04TigreRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2019-02-17Rosario CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2017-10-31TigreRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2017-03-25Rosario CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2015-02-21Rosario CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tigre vs Rosario Central odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 32.8%, away 36.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.76 2.90 2.76
1xBet 3.18 2.83 2.60
888Sport 2.75 2.70 2.80
Bet365 3.25 2.88 2.55
BetVictor 3.13 2.90 2.55
Betano 3.25 2.82 2.57
Betfair 3.00 2.88 2.55
Dafabet 2.75 2.80 2.75
Marathonbet 3.12 2.78 2.55
Pinnacle 3.27 2.89 2.63
SBO 2.57 2.72 2.54
Unibet 2.60 3.05 2.85
William Hill 3.00 2.75 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.13 ▲ +0.32
X 2.83 ▲ +0.01
2 2.55 ▼ -0.27

14 snapshots recorded, from .