Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Velez Sarsfield
vs
Tigre
3 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | R. Martinez | ||
| 46′ | N. BanegasF. Alvarez | ||
| 57′ | I. Russo | ||
| 59′ | V. MorenoM. Garay | ||
| 59′ | T. SerragoJ. Domina | ||
| 67′ | J. Policella | ||
| 68′ | P. MartinezS. Gonzalez | ||
| 74′ | M. LanziniD. Valdes | ||
| 74′ | J. PolicellaS. Escobar | ||
| 76′ | L. RobertoneL. Feler | ||
| 87′ | J. Domina | ||
| 89′ | R. Martinez | ||
| 90′ | R. MartinezD. Godoy |
Velez Sarsfield
43%
Draw
33%
Tigre
24%
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre
| Probability | Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Tigre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.5% | 35.1% | 18.4% |
| Market | 42.4% | 32.0% | 25.6% |
| Final | 43.4% | 32.8% | 23.8% |
| Edge | +4.1% | +3.2% | -7.2% |
Why Velez Sarsfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.58.
- The market prices Velez Sarsfield below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
51%
3+ goals
24%
No goals
20%
Velez Sarsfield and Tigre expected goals
Velez Sarsfield
1.09
Tigre
0.58
Total expected goals: 1.67
Velez Sarsfield and Tigre attack and defence ratings
Velez Sarsfield
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Tigre
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre: result vs prediction
Velez Sarsfield 3 – 2 Tigre
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Defensa Y Justicia — match page
- Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin
- Gimnasia L.P. v Banfield — match page
- Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra — team news & stats
- Union Santa Fe v Independiente — match page
- River Plate vs Huracan — team news & stats
- Instituto Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors
Before and after this match
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velez Sarsfield | 43.4% | 2.30 | +4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velez Sarsfield | 43.4% |
| Draw | 32.8% | |
| Tigre | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.5% |
| No | 69.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Velez Sarsfield win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 1-0 | 19.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre stats
Velez Sarsfield and Tigre recent form
| Velez Sarsfield |
DWDDDD |
| Tigre |
LLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Velez Sarsfield and Tigre going into this match
Velez Sarsfield record
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Tigre record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Velez Sarsfield wins
3Draws
4Tigre wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-15 | Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-23 | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-08 | Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-27 | Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-29 | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 0-0 |
| 2023-06-22 | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-2 |
| 2019-03-04 | Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 32.0%, away 25.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 2.95 | 3.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 2.92 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 2.89 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.02 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 2.81 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.05
X
2.92 ▼ -0.03
2
3.64 ▲ +0.07
12 snapshots recorded, from .