Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba

1 – 1 Full time

14′Juan Manuel Insaurralde
17′Mauricio Martínez
33′Junior Marabel
39′Nicolás Fernández
53′Santiago Salle
57′Jonathan HerreraDiego Churin
64′Santiago LongoLucas Passerini
64′Federico RiccaAdrian Spörle
68′Julián ContreraGastón Alberto Arturia
72′Ramiro HernandesFrancisco González Metilli
79′Diego Churin
80′Santiago SalleThiago Santamaría
80′Junior MarabelElián Giménez
80′Julian MavillaGaston Gonzalez
84′Nicolás FernándezLautaro Ismael Gutierrez
90′Lucas Passerini

Estadio Eva Perón, JuninReferee: Felipe Viola, Argentina

Sarmiento Junin 31%
Draw 31%
Belgrano Cordoba 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
26 Possession % 74
3 Corners 7
13 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
6 Saves 3
115 Accurate passes 485

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySarmiento JuninDrawBelgrano Cordoba
Model35.5%29.0%35.5%
Market28.8%32.2%38.9%
Final30.5%31.4%38.1%
Edge+6.6%-3.2%-3.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sarmiento Juni ↓ / Belgrano Cordo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Sarmiento Junin and Belgrano Cordoba expected goals

Sarmiento Junin 1.29
Belgrano Cordoba 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.59

Sarmiento Junin and Belgrano Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Sarmiento Junin

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Belgrano Cordoba

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba: result vs prediction

Sarmiento Junin 1 – 1 Belgrano Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Belgrano Cordoba 38.1% 2.63 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.9% 1.86 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.5% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.5% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sarmiento Junin30.5%
Draw31.4%
Belgrano Cordoba38.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.8%
Under 2.552.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.9%
No46.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.9%
12 (either side)68.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.5%
Handicap -1Belgrano Cordoba win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss64.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-08.8%
0-18.5%

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba stats

Sarmiento Junin and Belgrano Cordoba recent form

newest first
Sarmiento Junin WLWWWW
Belgrano Cordoba DDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sarmiento Junin and Belgrano Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sarmiento Junin record

  • They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Belgrano Cordoba record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Sarmiento Junin wins 3Draws 3Belgrano Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Belgrano CordobaSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina4-0
2024-08-04Sarmiento JuninBelgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-02-20Belgrano CordobaSarmiento JuninCopa de la Liga Profesional4-1
2023-09-25Sarmiento JuninBelgrano CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional0-0
2023-04-03Belgrano CordobaSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2016-11-20Belgrano CordobaSarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2015-04-03Sarmiento JuninBelgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 31.6%, away 39.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.15 3.00 2.36
1xBet 3.28 2.95 2.44
888Sport 3.10 2.90 2.38
Bet365 3.40 2.90 2.40
BetVictor 3.20 3.00 2.40
Betano 3.35 2.90 2.47
Betfair 3.10 3.00 2.30
Dafabet 3.20 2.95 2.34
Marathonbet 3.24 2.90 2.39
Pinnacle 3.35 2.97 2.51
SBO 2.92 2.82 2.21
Unibet 3.45 3.00 2.25
William Hill 3.10 2.88 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.24 ▲ +0.06
X 2.90 ▼ -0.20
2 2.40 —

14 snapshots recorded, from .