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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS

1 – 0 Full time

42′I. Ovando
45′A. RodriguezF. Navarro
53′E. ViverosA. Alcaraz
69′F. Vazquez
71′F. ParedesK. Coronel
71′N. OrozG. Florentin
75′F. Ibarra
83′C. BravoM. Gimenez
83′H. LopezD. Porcel
86′J. CampazG. Cantizano
88′I. Ovando
88′J. Almiron
90′E. VeronF. Mallo Blanco
90′A. Di MariaG. Duarte

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, RosarioReferee: P. Dovalo

Rosario Central 41%
Draw 32%
Argentinos JRS 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
40 Possession % 60
5 Corners 9
10 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 4
251 Accurate passes 458

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRosario CentralDrawArgentinos JRS
Model31.9%34.6%33.5%
Market43.9%30.9%25.2%
Final40.9%31.9%27.2%
Edge-12.0%+3.7%+8.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rosario Centra ↓ / Argentinos JRS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 13% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Rosario Central and Argentinos JRS expected goals

Rosario Central 0.93
Argentinos JRS 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.89

Rosario Central and Argentinos JRS attack and defence ratings

Rosario Central

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Argentinos JRS

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS: result vs prediction

Rosario Central 1 – 0 Argentinos JRS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosario Central 40.9% 2.44 -12.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.6% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.3% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.1% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rosario Central40.9%
Draw31.9%
Argentinos JRS27.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.4%
Under 2.570.6%
Both teams to scoreYes38.7%
No61.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.8%
12 (either side)68.1%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1Rosario Central win11.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss68.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.5%
1-114.8%
0-113.1%

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS stats

Rosario Central and Argentinos JRS recent form

newest first
Rosario Central WDLDLW
Argentinos JRS DDWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rosario Central and Argentinos JRS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rosario Central record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Argentinos JRS record

  • They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Rosario Central wins 1Draws 5Argentinos JRS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-11Argentinos JRSRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-05-11Argentinos JRSRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina3-2
2024-03-20Argentinos JRSRosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional3-0
2023-10-29Rosario CentralArgentinos JRSCopa de la Liga Profesional3-1
2023-01-26Rosario CentralArgentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2022-09-08Argentinos JRSRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2021-10-03Rosario CentralArgentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2021-02-15Rosario CentralArgentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2020-03-07Argentinos JRSRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 30.9%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 3.10 3.76
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.90
BetVictor 2.15 3.13 3.70
Betano 2.22 3.00 3.80
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.60
Marathonbet 2.10 3.05 3.68
Pinnacle 2.22 3.14 3.79
SBO 2.26 2.86 3.15
William Hill 2.05 2.90 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.05
X 3.05 ▲ +0.04
2 3.75 ▲ +0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .