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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia

0 – 1 Full time

12′Jose Ignacio Florentin
45′Elías Pereyra
53′Esteban RolónGonzalo Maroni
60′Nicolás Demartini
61′Rodrigo BogarinEnzo Taborda
61′Elías PereyraRodrigo Insua
68′Luis SequeiraTomas Bottari
68′Maximiliano SalasLeonel Bucca
77′Fabrizio Sartori PrietoLuis Ángel Díaz Cuesta
77′Rafael BarriosDamián Martínez
77′Norberto BriascoFacundo Bruera
81′Rodrigo Insua
89′Enzo Taborda
89′Luciano Gomez
90′Matías FernándezGonzalo Rios
90′Luciano GomezAlex Vigo
90′Gonzalo Maroni
90′Marcelo Miño

Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, BarracasReferee: Nicolas Lamolina

Barracas Central 27%
Draw 32%
Independ. Rivadavia 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
67 Possession % 33
7 Corners 5
11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 8
6 Saves 2
479 Accurate passes 179

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarracas CentralDrawIndepend. Rivadavia
Model24.9%31.1%44.0%
Market28.4%32.3%39.3%
Final27.5%32.0%40.5%
Edge-3.5%-1.2%+4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Independ. Rivadavia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Independ. Rivadavia below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barracas Centr ↓ / Independ. Riva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 12%

Barracas Central and Independ. Rivadavia expected goals

Barracas Central 0.90
Independ. Rivadavia 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.19

Barracas Central and Independ. Rivadavia attack and defence ratings

Barracas Central

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: result vs prediction

Barracas Central 0 – 1 Independ. Rivadavia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Independ. Rivadavia 40.5% 2.47 +4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.6% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barracas Central27.5%
Draw32.0%
Independ. Rivadavia40.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.4%
Under 2.562.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.5%
12 (either side)68.0%
X2 (draw or away)72.5%
Handicap -1Independ. Rivadavia win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss56.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-113.1%
0-012.5%

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia stats

Barracas Central and Independ. Rivadavia recent form

newest first
Barracas Central DDDLLL
Independ. Rivadavia DWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barracas Central and Independ. Rivadavia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barracas Central record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Independ. Rivadavia record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Barracas Central wins 3Draws 2Independ. Rivadavia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-12Independ. RivadaviaBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-2
2025-07-20Barracas CentralIndepend. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina0-3
2025-01-29Independ. RivadaviaBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-10-07Barracas CentralIndepend. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-03-01Independ. RivadaviaBarracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional1-3
2021-10-09Barracas CentralIndepend. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional1-3
2021-06-17Independ. RivadaviaBarracas CentralPrimera Nacional0-0
2020-11-28Barracas CentralIndepend. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional2-1
2019-11-03Barracas CentralIndepend. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.4%, draw 32.3%, away 39.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.36 2.94 2.41
Bet365 3.40 2.90 2.38
BetVictor 3.30 3.00 2.38
Betano 3.40 2.92 2.42
Betfair 3.25 2.90 2.30
Marathonbet 3.30 2.88 2.36
Pinnacle 3.46 2.96 2.46
SBO 3.09 2.82 2.31
William Hill 3.25 2.88 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.02
X 2.90 ▼ -0.10
2 2.38 ▲ +0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .