Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 11
Estudiantes L.P.
vs
Gimnasia M.
3 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | Lucas PioviBautista Kociubinski | ||
| 41′ | Tomás O'Connor | ||
| 45′ | Tomás O'ConnorJulián Ceballos | ||
| 52′ | Luciano Paredes | ||
| 66′ | Leandro Gonzalez Pirez | ||
| 68′ | Adolfo GaichGuido Carrillo | ||
| 68′ | Miguel MonsalveFabricio Pérez | ||
| 74′ | Matías VargasBlas Armoa Nunez | ||
| 74′ | Fermin AntoniniNahuel Barboza | ||
| 80′ | Diego Mondino | ||
| 82′ | Agustín MódicaValentino Simoni | ||
| 83′ | Edwuin Cetre | ||
| 89′ | Joaquín Tobio BurgosSantiago Arzamendia | ||
| 89′ | Bautista KociubinskiJosé Sosa | ||
| 90′ | Esteban FernándezSantiago Rodríguez | ||
| 90′ | Fabricio Pérez | ||
| 90′ | Fabricio Pérez |
Estudiantes L.P.
52%
Draw
28%
Gimnasia M.
20%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 290 | Accurate passes | 257 |
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
| Probability | Estudiantes L.P. | Draw | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.2% | 30.9% | 27.9% |
| Market | 55.7% | 26.4% | 17.9% |
| Final | 52.1% | 27.6% | 20.4% |
| Edge | -14.5% | +4.5% | +10.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia M. expected goals
Estudiantes L.P.
1.27
Gimnasia M.
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.26
Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia M. attack and defence ratings
Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Gimnasia M.
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: result vs prediction
Estudiantes L.P. 3 – 0 Gimnasia M.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
- Independiente v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P.
- Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central — team news & stats
- Newells Old Boys v Lanus — match page
- Huracan vs Aldosivi
- Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba
Before and after this match
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 52.1% | 1.92 | -14.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 52.1% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Gimnasia M. | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estudiantes L.P. win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 58.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 11.7% |
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. stats
Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia M. recent form
| Estudiantes L.P. |
LLWWDL |
| Gimnasia M. |
DLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia M. going into this match
Estudiantes L.P. record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia M. record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1Estudiantes L.P. wins
0Draws
0Gimnasia M. wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Gimnasia M. | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 26.4%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.70 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.52 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| SBO | 1.64 | 3.28 | 4.72 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.67 ▼ -0.03
X
3.52 ▲ +0.02
2
5.21 ▲ +0.01
20 snapshots recorded, from .