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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo

3 – 0 Full time

11′Jeremías Lucco
24′Fernando RomanDemian Leonel Dominguez
35′Alexis·Cuello
45′Héctor David Martínez
45′David Barbona
45′Ignacio Perruzzi AmbrosiniFacundo Gulli
45′Alexis·CuelloMatías Reali
53′Nicolás TripichioGustavo Del Prete
59′Héctor David Martínez
65′Juan Manuel GutiérrezTiziano Perrotta
65′David BarbonaDomingo Blanco
66′Mathías de RitisTeo Rodríguez Pagano
68′Gustavo Del Prete
68′Damián Fernández
73′Guzman corujoJuan Álvarez
78′Juan Álvarez
84′Maximiliano PorcelJulian Lopez
84′Leandro FernándezAgustin Hausch

Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Julio CostaReferee: Luis Lobo Medina

Defensa Y Justicia 46%
Draw 32%
San Lorenzo 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
51 Possession % 49
3 Corners 8
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3
5 Saves 1
315 Accurate passes 256

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDefensa Y JusticiaDrawSan Lorenzo
Model47.0%32.8%20.2%
Market45.0%31.5%23.5%
Final45.5%31.8%22.7%
Edge+2.0%+1.3%-3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Defensa Y Justicia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.70.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Defensa Y Justicia below the model: +2.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Defensa Y Just ↓ / San Lorenzo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 9% 1 17% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo expected goals

Defensa Y Justicia 1.21
San Lorenzo 0.70

Total expected goals: 1.91

Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo attack and defence ratings

Defensa Y Justicia

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.29 +29%

San Lorenzo

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo: result vs prediction

Defensa Y Justicia 3 – 0 San Lorenzo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Defensa Y Justicia 45.5% 2.20 +2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score No 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Defensa Y Justicia45.5%
Draw31.8%
San Lorenzo22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.0%
Under 2.570.0%
Both teams to scoreYes36.7%
No63.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.5%
Handicap -1Defensa Y Justicia win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.6%
0-016.0%
1-113.8%

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo stats

Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo recent form

newest first
Defensa Y Justicia DWLWWD
San Lorenzo LDWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Defensa Y Justicia record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Lorenzo record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Defensa Y Justicia wins 3Draws 2San Lorenzo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-16San LorenzoDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina2-5
2024-09-22Defensa Y JusticiaSan LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-04-07San LorenzoDefensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional0-2
2023-11-24Defensa Y JusticiaSan LorenzoCopa Argentina1-0
2023-11-12Defensa Y JusticiaSan LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional0-1
2023-05-08San LorenzoDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-09-05Defensa Y JusticiaSan LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2022-02-22San LorenzoDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina3-4
2021-09-26San LorenzoDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2021-03-25San LorenzoDefensa Y JusticiaCopa Argentina0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 31.5%, away 23.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.13 2.93 4.12
Bet365 2.05 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 2.05 3.13 3.90
Betano 2.10 3.05 4.15
Betfair 2.05 3.00 3.80
Marathonbet 2.09 2.88 4.05
Pinnacle 2.15 2.99 4.25
SBO 2.12 2.82 3.28
William Hill 2.05 2.88 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 ▼ -0.16
X 2.99 ▼ -0.01
2 4.00 ▲ +0.56

34 snapshots recorded, from .