Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Huracan vs Aldosivi

1 – 0 Full time

32′Joaquín Pombo Streinberger
33′Máximo Agustín Palazzo
36′Leandro Lescano
45′Andres VombergarAndrés Chávez
52′Lucas Castro
53′Santiago MoyaRodrigo González
53′Felipe AnsoAgustín Palavecino
64′Facundo Kalinger di NapoliThaiel Peralta
64′Lucas CastroNicolás Cordero
64′Nicolás LinaresFrancisco Perruzzi
74′Joaquín Pombo Streinberger
75′Oscar CortesIgnacio Pussetto
75′Leonardo GilLautaro Iván Mora
77′Leandro LescanoHugo Nervo
77′Facundo WallerÓscar Romero
79′Óscar Romero
87′Francisco Perruzzi
87′Leonardo Sigali

Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos AiresReferee: Nazareno Arasa

Huracan 55%
Draw 27%
Aldosivi 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
6 Corners 5
10 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 2
4 Saves 5
326 Accurate passes 318

Huracan vs Aldosivi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huracan vs Aldosivi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuracanDrawAldosivi
Model53.3%26.1%20.6%
Market55.5%27.8%16.7%
Final55.0%27.4%17.7%
Edge-2.2%-1.6%+3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Huracan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.99.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huracan ↓ / Aldosivi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Huracan and Aldosivi expected goals

Huracan 1.72
Aldosivi 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.70

Huracan and Aldosivi attack and defence ratings

Huracan

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Aldosivi

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.47 +47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Huracan vs Aldosivi: result vs prediction

Huracan 1 – 0 Aldosivi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Huracan vs Aldosivi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Huracan 55.0% 1.82 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.3% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huracan55.0%
Draw27.4%
Aldosivi17.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.3%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)45.0%
Handicap -1Huracan win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss46.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-010.3%
2-09.8%

Huracan vs Aldosivi stats

Huracan and Aldosivi recent form

newest first
Huracan WWDDDL
Aldosivi WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Huracan and Aldosivi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Huracan record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aldosivi record

  • They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.

Huracan vs Aldosivi head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Huracan wins 2Draws 3Aldosivi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-16AldosiviHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2025-10-12AldosiviHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2025-04-05HuracanAldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina3-3
2022-08-07AldosiviHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2022-04-26AldosiviHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2021-09-04HuracanAldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2020-02-15HuracanAldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2018-08-19AldosiviHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2017-05-07AldosiviHuracanLiga Profesional Argentina0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Huracan vs Aldosivi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 27.8%, away 16.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.70 3.45 5.77
Bet365 1.73 3.40 5.75
BetVictor 1.70 3.40 5.75
Betano 1.80 3.45 5.60
Betfair 1.70 3.40 5.00
Marathonbet 1.66 3.38 5.65
Pinnacle 1.76 3.45 5.65
SBO 1.75 2.95 4.22
William Hill 1.70 3.25 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▲ +0.12
X 3.40 ▼ -0.10
2 5.65 ▼ -1.30

28 snapshots recorded, from .