Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Aldosivi
vs
Atletico Tucuman
1 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | Nestor BreitenbruchLeonardo Sigali | ||
| 45′ | Elías LópezSantiago Moya | ||
| 45′ | Nicolás CorderoAgustín Palavecino | ||
| 56′ | Tomás Fernández | ||
| 59′ | Iván TesuriRamiro Ruiz Rodriguez | ||
| 60′ | Nicolás LaméndolaPedro Alexis Canelo | ||
| 73′ | Lucas CastroFrancisco Perruzzi | ||
| 73′ | Tomás FernándezFelipe Anso | ||
| 75′ | Ignacio GalvanJuan Infante | ||
| 75′ | Julián FernándezRodrigo Granillo | ||
| 90′ | Francisco Perruzzi |
Aldosivi
27%
Draw
31%
Atletico Tucuman
42%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 295 | Accurate passes | 162 |
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman
| Probability | Aldosivi | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.3% | 27.8% | 49.0% |
| Market | 28.9% | 31.8% | 39.3% |
| Final | 27.5% | 30.8% | 41.7% |
| Edge | -5.6% | -4.0% | +9.7% |
Why Atletico Tucuman
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atletico Tucuman below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Aldosivi and Atletico Tucuman expected goals
Aldosivi
1.01
Atletico Tucuman
1.56
Total expected goals: 2.57
Aldosivi and Atletico Tucuman attack and defence ratings
Aldosivi
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.63 +63%
Atletico Tucuman
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman: result vs prediction
Aldosivi 1 – 0 Atletico Tucuman
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Defensa Y Justicia — match page
- Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin
- Gimnasia L.P. v Banfield — match page
- Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra — team news & stats
- Union Santa Fe v Independiente — match page
- River Plate vs Huracan — team news & stats
- Instituto Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors
Before and after this match
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Tucuman | 41.7% | 2.40 | +9.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aldosivi | 27.5% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Atletico Tucuman | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Tucuman win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman stats
Aldosivi and Atletico Tucuman recent form
| Aldosivi |
LWLLLD |
| Atletico Tucuman |
DLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aldosivi and Atletico Tucuman going into this match
Aldosivi record
- They have won 1 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
Atletico Tucuman record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
1Aldosivi wins
5Draws
3Atletico Tucuman wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Atletico Tucuman | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-16 | Aldosivi | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-14 | Atletico Tucuman | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-2 |
| 2019-08-26 | Aldosivi | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
| 2019-03-31 | Atletico Tucuman | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2017-03-21 | Atletico Tucuman | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2014-03-29 | Aldosivi | Atletico Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2013-09-29 | Atletico Tucuman | Aldosivi | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2013-03-10 | Atletico Tucuman | Aldosivi | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 31.8%, away 39.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.03 | 2.49 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 2.91 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.37 | 2.99 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.96 | 2.83 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.25 ▲ +0.12
X
2.95 ▲ +0.05
2
2.39 ▼ -0.10
14 snapshots recorded, from .