Banfield
vs
Lanus
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lanus
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lanus is the favourite, not a value bet.
Banfield vs Lanus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Banfield vs Lanus
| Probability | Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 30.1% | 46.2% |
| Market | 26.3% | 29.9% | 43.8% |
| Final | 25.6% | 30.0% | 44.4% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
Why Lanus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 44.4% × 2.19 − 1).
Banfield vs Lanus match preview
In the upcoming Liga Profesional match, Banfield faces Lanus, with the probabilities indicating a 27% chance for a Banfield win, 31% for a draw, and 42% for a Lanus victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 13% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Banfield will generate 0.91, while Lanus is forecasted to score 1.37.
Analyzing recent form, Banfield has struggled with a sequence of results showing one win and five matches without a victory, while Lanus has been in strong form, winning five consecutive matches. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters shows parity, with each team securing one win and one draw. Overall, the confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Banfield and Lanus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Banfield and Lanus attack and defence ratings
Banfield
Lanus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Gimnasia M. vs Platense — team news & stats
- Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page
- Rosario Central vs Huracan
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba — team news & stats
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page
Before and after this match
Banfield vs Lanus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lanus | 44.4% | 2.25 | +0.6% | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banfield | 25.6% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Lanus | 44.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lanus win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 12.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Banfield vs Lanus stats
Banfield and Lanus recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Banfield and Lanus season so far
Banfield record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Lanus record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banfield vs Lanus head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Lanus | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Banfield | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Lanus | Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Banfield vs Lanus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 29.9%, away 43.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.61 | 3.16 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.13 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.10 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 3.10 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61 | 3.14 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 3.07 | 2.78 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .