Aldosivi
vs
Belgrano Cordoba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Belgrano Cordoba
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Belgrano Cordoba is the favourite, not a value bet.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba
| Probability | Aldosivi | Draw | Belgrano Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 28.9% | 41.7% |
| Market | 24.7% | 30.0% | 45.3% |
| Final | 25.9% | 29.7% | 44.4% |
| Edge | +1.2% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
Why Belgrano Cordoba
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (our 44.4% × 2.15 − 1).
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba match preview
Aldosivi faces Belgrano Cordoba in an upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina match. According to our model, Aldosivi has a 26% chance of winning, while Belgrano Cordoba holds a 44% probability of victory, with a 30% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Aldosivi stand at 1.15, compared to 1.41 for Belgrano Cordoba. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%.
In terms of recent form, Aldosivi has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, while Belgrano Cordoba has shown better performance with three wins and two draws in the same span. The head-to-head record reveals that Aldosivi has not secured a win against Belgrano Cordoba in their last three encounters, with two losses and one draw. Both teams to score is predicted at 53%, and there is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba attack and defence ratings
Aldosivi
Belgrano Cordoba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Banfield vs Lanus — team news & stats
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia — team news & stats
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page
- Rosario Central vs Huracan
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page
- River Plate vs Racing Club — team news & stats
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield — match page
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Before and after this match
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 44.4% | 2.25 | -0.9% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aldosivi | 25.9% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 44.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Belgrano Cordoba win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba stats
Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba recent form
| Aldosivi |
LLLWLW |
| Belgrano Cordoba |
LWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba season so far
Aldosivi record
- They have won 2 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
Belgrano Cordoba record
- They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Belgrano Cordoba | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Aldosivi | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Belgrano Cordoba | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.7%, draw 30.0%, away 45.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.78 | 3.14 | 2.13 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.10 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.85 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.75 | 3.10 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 3.08 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.94 | 3.18 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 3.24 | 2.80 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.00 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .