Racing Club
vs
Aldosivi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Racing Club
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.27.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Racing Club is the favourite, not a value bet.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Club vs Aldosivi
| Probability | Racing Club | Draw | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 26.7% | 28.9% |
| Market | 60.1% | 24.8% | 15.0% |
| Final | 56.2% | 25.3% | 18.5% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
Why Racing Club
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.27.
Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.6% per unit staked (our 56.2% × 1.61 − 1).
Racing Club vs Aldosivi match preview
Racing Club enters this match with a 58% probability of winning against Aldosivi, who has a lower 17% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Racing Club, with an expected goals tally of 2.01 for Racing Club compared to 1.36 for Aldosivi. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Racing Club recording a draw and two wins in their last six matches, while Aldosivi has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, our model indicates a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance that both teams will score. The recent head-to-head record favors Racing Club, with two wins and one draw in their last three encounters against Aldosivi. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Racing Club and Aldosivi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Racing Club and Aldosivi attack and defence ratings
Racing Club
Aldosivi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Huracan vs Tigre — team news & stats
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central
- Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — match page
- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Racing Club vs Aldosivi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Club | 56.2% | 1.78 | -3.9% | 1.61 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Club | 56.2% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Aldosivi | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Club win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Racing Club vs Aldosivi stats
Racing Club and Aldosivi recent form
| Racing Club |
LDLWLW |
| Aldosivi |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing Club and Aldosivi season so far
Racing Club record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aldosivi record
- They have won 2 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Aldosivi | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Racing Club | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Aldosivi | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Racing Club vs Aldosivi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.1%, draw 24.8%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.82 | 6.43 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.60 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 3.70 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.74 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.88 | 5.73 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .