Huracan
vs
Tigre
Garuda Lions Prediction: Huracan
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Huracan is the favourite, not a value bet.
Huracan vs Tigre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Huracan vs Tigre
| Probability | Huracan | Draw | Tigre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 31.6% | 26.4% |
| Market | 43.3% | 32.4% | 24.3% |
| Final | 43.0% | 32.2% | 24.8% |
| Edge | -0.3% | -0.2% | +0.5% |
Why Huracan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (our 43.0% × 2.25 − 1).
Huracan vs Tigre match preview
Huracan is set to face Tigre in their upcoming Liga Profesional match, with the model assigning a 45% probability of a Huracan victory, while Tigre has a 24% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Huracan, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.34 compared to Tigre's 0.85. Recent form shows Huracan with two wins in their last five matches, while Tigre has struggled significantly, losing their last six games.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals, and a 43% probability that both teams will score. Historically, Huracan has had the upper hand in their last three encounters, winning twice and drawing once against Tigre, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Huracan and Tigre expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Huracan and Tigre attack and defence ratings
Huracan
Tigre
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.
- Racing Club v Aldosivi — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central
- Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — match page
- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Huracan vs Tigre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huracan | 43.0% | 2.33 | -0.3% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huracan | 43.0% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Tigre | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Huracan win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Huracan vs Tigre stats
Huracan and Tigre recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Huracan and Tigre season so far
Huracan record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tigre record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Huracan vs Tigre head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Tigre | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-08 | Tigre | Huracan | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-07 | Huracan | Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Huracan vs Tigre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 32.4%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 2.96 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 2.88 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 2.85 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 2.96 | 3.89 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.75 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .