Belgrano Cordoba
vs
Barracas Central
Garuda Lions Prediction: Belgrano Cordoba
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Belgrano Cordoba is the favourite, not a value bet.
Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central
| Probability | Belgrano Cordoba | Draw | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.3% | 34.8% | 29.9% |
| Market | 54.0% | 28.3% | 17.7% |
| Final | 49.3% | 29.9% | 20.7% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +1.6% | +3.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.7% per unit staked (our 49.3% × 1.83 − 1).
Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central match preview
Belgrano Cordoba faces Barracas Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Belgrano holding a 49% probability of winning compared to Barracas Central's 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Belgrano, with a 14% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Belgrano will score 0.98 while Barracas Central is projected to score 0.88.
In terms of recent form, Belgrano Cordoba has recorded two losses, followed by three matches without defeat, while Barracas Central has seen a mix of results, including two wins and a recent loss. The head-to-head record shows that in their last three encounters, neither team has secured a victory, with all matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.86
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central attack and defence ratings
Belgrano Cordoba
Barracas Central
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 49.3% | 2.03 | -4.7% | 1.83 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 49.3% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Barracas Central | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.0% |
| No | 62.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Belgrano Cordoba win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 64.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.9% |
Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central stats
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central recent form
| Belgrano Cordoba |
LLWWWD |
| Barracas Central |
WDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central season so far
Belgrano Cordoba record
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Barracas Central record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Barracas Central | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Barracas Central | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-17 | Belgrano Cordoba | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 28.3%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.34 | 5.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.25 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 3.35 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.28 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.37 | 4.75 |