Barracas Central
vs
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barracas Central
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.64.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Barracas Central is the favourite, not a value bet.
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
| Probability | Barracas Central | Draw | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 29.4% | 15.6% |
| Market | 59.5% | 27.1% | 13.4% |
| Final | 58.4% | 27.7% | 13.9% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.6% | +0.6% |
Why Barracas Central
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.1% per unit staked (our 58.4% × 1.73 − 1).
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto match preview
Barracas Central enters this match with a 53% probability of winning, reflecting a solid recent form of two wins, one loss, and three draws. Their expected goals stand at 1.40, suggesting a strong attacking performance, while they are favored to secure a narrow victory, with the most likely scoreline predicted at 1-0 (17%).
In contrast, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has struggled recently, with six consecutive games without a win, resulting in a 17% probability of victory. Their expected goals are notably lower at 0.67, indicating challenges in their offensive capabilities. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 38%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 34%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barracas Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Barracas Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto attack and defence ratings
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — match page
- Rosario Central vs Huracan
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba — team news & stats
- Independiente v Boca Juniors — match page
- River Plate vs Racing Club — team news & stats
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield — match page
- Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. — match page
- Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra
Before and after this match
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barracas Central | 58.4% | 1.71 | -1.1% | 1.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barracas Central | 58.4% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 13.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.2% |
| No | 62.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barracas Central win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.7% | |
| 2-0 | 12.9% |
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto stats
Barracas Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto recent form
| Barracas Central |
DWWLDD |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barracas Central and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto season so far
Barracas Central record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record
- They have won 2 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 28 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.4%, draw 27.2%, away 13.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.70 | 7.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.40 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.45 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 3.45 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.62 | 6.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 3.70 | 6.95 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.17 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.00 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .