Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
vs
Gimnasia L.P.
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gimnasia L.P.
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.99.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Gimnasia L.P. is the favourite, not a value bet.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.
| Probability | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Draw | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.8% | 27.0% | 51.1% |
| Market | 19.4% | 28.2% | 52.3% |
| Final | 20.0% | 27.9% | 52.0% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
Why Gimnasia L.P.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.6% per unit staked (our 52.0% × 1.91 − 1).
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. match preview
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto faces Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with kickoff set for October 30, 2026. The model indicates a 54% probability of a Gimnasia L.P. victory, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has an 18% chance of winning, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto will score 0.97, while Gimnasia L.P. is expected to net 1.57.
In terms of recent form, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has struggled, recording six consecutive results with one win followed by five losses. Conversely, Gimnasia L.P. has been more consistent, with two wins and four draws in their last six matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia L.P. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia L.P. attack and defence ratings
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Gimnasia L.P.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Huracan vs Tigre — team news & stats
- Racing Club v Aldosivi — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central
- Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — match page
- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia L.P. | 52.0% | 1.92 | -0.3% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 20.0% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 52.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia L.P. win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. stats
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia L.P. recent form
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto |
LWLLLL |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
WWDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia L.P. season so far
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record
- They have won 3 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 29 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia L.P. record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.4%, draw 28.2%, away 52.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.54 | 3.30 | 1.89 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 3.30 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 3.35 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 3.25 | 1.71 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.24 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 4.48 | 3.27 | 1.91 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .