Estudiantes L.P.
vs
Instituto Cordoba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Estudiantes L.P.
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Estudiantes L.P. is the favourite, not a value bet.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba
| Probability | Estudiantes L.P. | Draw | Instituto Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.7% | 31.3% | 38.9% |
| Market | 44.2% | 31.6% | 24.3% |
| Final | 40.6% | 31.5% | 27.9% |
| Edge | -3.6% | -0.1% | +3.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.6% per unit staked (our 40.6% × 2.18 − 1).
Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba match preview
Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba are set to clash in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estudiantes holding a 41% probability of winning compared to Instituto's 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Estudiantes, which has a 10% likelihood. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Estudiantes recording a sequence of D-L-D-D-W-L, while Instituto has performed better with W-D-W-W-W-L.
In terms of expected goals, Estudiantes is forecasted to score 1.03, while Instituto is slightly ahead with an expected 1.21 goals. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39%, and both teams to score stands at 46%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Estudiantes secured a win, reflecting a favorable trend for them in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba attack and defence ratings
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto Cordoba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
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- Deportivo Riestra v Talleres Cordoba — match page
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Boca Juniors vs River Plate — team news & stats
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central
- Newells Old Boys v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Lanus vs Gimnasia M.
Before and after this match
Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 40.6% | 2.47 | -3.6% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 40.6% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Instituto Cordoba | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estudiantes L.P. win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 70.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 0-1 | 11.6% |
Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba stats
Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba recent form
| Estudiantes L.P. |
DLDDWL |
| Instituto Cordoba |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estudiantes L.P. and Instituto Cordoba season so far
Estudiantes L.P. record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Instituto Cordoba record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Instituto Cordoba | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 31.6%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.06 | 3.92 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 2.95 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 2.90 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.00 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.80 |