Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 16

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys

2 – 2 Full time

7′Facundo Ezquel Suarez
45′Matías Gallardo
45′Lucas Nicolás GómezJerónimo Gómez Mattar
62′Matías GallardoJuan Ignacio Méndez
62′Facundo Ezquel SuarezMatías Tissera
63′Juan Ignacio RamírezFrancisco Scarpeccio
63′Alan SoñoraFacundo Samuel Guch
66′Walter Nunez
72′Jonas AcevedoMatias Fonseca
76′Jhon CórdobaNicolás Guerra
78′Walter NunezWalter Mazzantti
79′Walter Mazzantti
88′Santiago Germán Solari FerreyraAlejo Montero
90′Matías Tissera

Estadio Presidente Peron, AvellanedaReferee: Leandro Rey Hilfer

Instituto Cordoba 49%
Draw 30%
Newells Old Boys 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
1 Corners 3
14 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 4
2 Saves 1
335 Accurate passes 350

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInstituto CordobaDrawNewells Old Boys
Model49.0%30.3%20.6%
Market49.0%30.3%20.7%
Final49.0%30.3%20.7%
Edge-0.0%+0.0%-0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Instituto Cordoba

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Instituto Cord ↓ / Newells Old Bo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys expected goals

Instituto Cordoba 1.37
Newells Old Boys 0.80

Total expected goals: 2.17

Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys attack and defence ratings

Instituto Cordoba

Attack 1.60 +60%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Newells Old Boys

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys: result vs prediction

Instituto Cordoba 2 – 2 Newells Old Boys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 16 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Instituto Cordoba 49.0% 2.04 -0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Instituto Cordoba49.0%
Draw30.3%
Newells Old Boys20.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%
Both teams to scoreYes42.3%
No57.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.3%
12 (either side)69.7%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1Instituto Cordoba win24.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.4%
1-113.8%
0-012.7%

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys stats

Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys going into this match

league record before kick-off

Instituto Cordoba record

  • They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Newells Old Boys record

  • They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Instituto Cordoba wins 1Draws 0Newells Old Boys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Newells Old BoysInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-06-14Newells Old BoysInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2023-02-27Instituto CordobaNewells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 30.3%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.94 3.06 4.75
Bet365 1.91 3.20 4.50
BetVictor 1.87 3.13 4.50
Betano 1.98 3.20 4.90
Betfair 1.91 3.10 4.50
Dafabet 1.89 3.15 4.50
Marathonbet 1.90 2.99 4.65
Pinnacle 1.90 3.05 5.23
SBO 1.90 2.96 4.11
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.01
X 3.08 ▼ -0.12
2 4.50 ▲ +0.04

11 snapshots recorded, from .