Belgrano Cordoba
vs
River Plate
Garuda Lions Prediction: River Plate
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate
| Probability | Belgrano Cordoba | Draw | River Plate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 30.0% | 20.3% |
| Market | 28.1% | 31.2% | 40.7% |
| Final | 33.5% | 30.9% | 35.6% |
| Edge | +21.6% | -1.2% | -20.4% |
Why River Plate
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate match preview
Belgrano Cordoba faces River Plate in a Liga Profesional Argentina match with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 32% for Belgrano Cordoba, 30% for a draw, and 37% for River Plate. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.37 for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.84 for River Plate.
In terms of recent form, Belgrano Cordoba has secured three wins and three draws in their last six matches, while River Plate has achieved four wins, one loss, and one draw in the same period. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows each team with one victory. Overall, the confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Belgrano Cordoba and River Plate expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Belgrano Cordoba and River Plate attack and defence ratings
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | River Plate | 35.6% | 2.81 | -20.4% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 33.5% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| River Plate | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | River Plate win | 6.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.7% | |
| Loss | 79.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate stats
Belgrano Cordoba and River Plate recent form
| Belgrano Cordoba |
WWWDDD |
| River Plate |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Belgrano Cordoba and River Plate season so far
Belgrano Cordoba record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
River Plate record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | River Plate | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-05 | River Plate | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.1%, draw 31.2%, away 40.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.41 | 3.01 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 2.95 | 2.27 |
| Marathonbet | 3.34 | 2.95 | 2.29 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40 | 2.98 | 2.38 |
| SBO | 2.98 | 2.80 | 2.19 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .