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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia

5 – 0 Full time

11′Ángel Di María
12′Gonzalo Rios
25′Ángel Di María
40′Alex Arce
45′Leonard Costa
45′Federico NavarroGiovanni Ismael Cantizano
45′Gonzalo RiosFabrizio Sartori Prieto
51′Jaminton Campaz
57′Ángel Di María
59′Luciano GomezAlex Vigo
59′Luis SequeiraMatías Reali
63′Jose Ignacio Florentin
69′Enzo Copetti
71′Jaminton CampazFranco Cervi
72′Enzo CopettiMarco Ruben
72′Tomas BottariStefano Moreyra
72′Franco IbarraJulian Fernandez
74′Marco Ruben
76′Ángel Di MaríaJuan Giménez
79′Matías FernándezLeonel Bucca

Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, RosarioReferee: Facundo Tello

Rosario Central 45%
Draw 30%
Independ. Rivadavia 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
61 Possession % 39
9 Corners 5
9 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 4
413 Accurate passes 273

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRosario CentralDrawIndepend. Rivadavia
Model37.4%32.5%30.1%
Market47.1%29.2%23.7%
Final44.7%30.0%25.3%
Edge-2.4%+0.8%+1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rosario Centra ↓ / Independ. Riva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia expected goals

Rosario Central 1.13
Independ. Rivadavia 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.11

Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia attack and defence ratings

Rosario Central

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: result vs prediction

Rosario Central 5 – 0 Independ. Rivadavia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosario Central 44.7% 2.24 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rosario Central44.7%
Draw30.0%
Independ. Rivadavia25.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.2%
Under 2.564.8%
Both teams to scoreYes43.6%
No56.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.7%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1Rosario Central win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss62.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.5%
1-012.3%

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia stats

Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia recent form

newest first
Rosario Central DWWDLD
Independ. Rivadavia DWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rosario Central record

  • They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Independ. Rivadavia record

  • They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Rosario Central wins 2Draws 2Independ. Rivadavia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-23Independ. RivadaviaRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2024-11-05Independ. RivadaviaRosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-02-08Rosario CentralIndepend. RivadaviaCopa de la Liga Profesional1-0
2013-04-08Independ. RivadaviaRosario CentralPrimera Nacional1-3
2012-10-08Rosario CentralIndepend. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional2-2
2012-04-10Rosario CentralIndepend. RivadaviaPrimera Nacional1-0
2011-10-06Independ. RivadaviaRosario CentralPrimera Nacional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.1%, draw 29.2%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.26 4.04
Bet365 2.00 3.10 4.33
BetVictor 2.00 3.30 3.90
Betano 2.05 3.35 4.20
Betfair 1.91 3.30 4.00
Dafabet 2.01 3.15 3.90
Marathonbet 1.96 3.20 3.96
Pinnacle 2.05 3.37 4.01
SBO 2.02 2.94 3.41
William Hill 1.95 3.00 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 —
X 3.23 —
2 3.98 ▲ +0.07

14 snapshots recorded, from .