Atletico Tucuman
vs
Argentinos JRS
Garuda Lions Prediction: Argentinos JRS
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Argentinos JRS is the favourite, not a value bet.
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS
| Probability | Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Argentinos JRS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 33.3% | 36.1% |
| Market | 32.2% | 31.3% | 36.6% |
| Final | 31.8% | 31.8% | 36.4% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.1% |
Why Argentinos JRS
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.7% per unit staked (our 36.4% × 2.67 − 1).
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS match preview
Atletico Tucuman faces Argentinos JRS in the Liga Profesional Argentina with a predicted probability of 30% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 39% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline from the model suggests a narrow 0-1 win for Argentinos JRS, with a probability of 11%. Both teams are expected to generate similar attacking outputs, with expected goals set at 1.06 for each side.
In terms of recent form, Atletico Tucuman has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, while Argentinos JRS shows a slightly more favorable trend with two wins, three draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record indicates that in their last encounter, Argentinos JRS secured a win against Atletico Tucuman. The confidence grade for this match is assessed as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Tucuman and Argentinos JRS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Atletico Tucuman and Argentinos JRS attack and defence ratings
Atletico Tucuman
Argentinos JRS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Argentinos JRS | 36.4% | 2.74 | -0.1% | 2.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Tucuman | 31.8% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Argentinos JRS | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Argentinos JRS win | 14.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 12.8% |
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS stats
Atletico Tucuman and Argentinos JRS recent form
| Atletico Tucuman |
DWLDLL |
| Argentinos JRS |
WWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Tucuman and Argentinos JRS season so far
Atletico Tucuman record
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Argentinos JRS record
- They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Argentinos JRS | Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos JRS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.2%, draw 31.3%, away 36.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.02 | 3.02 | 2.57 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.05 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 2.95 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 2.96 | 2.52 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.03 | 2.67 |
| SBO | 2.74 | 2.80 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .