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Copa Argentina · Full time ·Semi-finals

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense

1 – 1 Full time

6′L. Godoy
36′L. VegaJ. Fernandez
36′R. Tesuri
50′T. Silva
58′K. Retamar
61′B. MerliniF. Zapiola
61′J. SaboridoA. Lagos
63′R. Tesuri
68′R. TesuriR. Ruiz
73′J. GautoG. Mainero
79′L. Diaz
81′G. Mainero
87′M. BarriosM. Amarfil
87′G. LencinaB. Sepulveda
88′N. LamendolaA. Canelo
88′L. DiazR. Granillo
88′N. FrancoG. Compagnucci
90′M. Amarfil
120′A. Canelo
120′A. Lagos
120′R. Granillo
120′F. Zapiola
120′C. D. Ferreira Namandu
120′B. Sepulveda
120′L. Godoy
120′I. Vazquez
120′G. Mainero

Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta

Atletico Tucuman 37%
Draw 31%
Platense 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Tucuman vs Platense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TucumanDrawPlatense
Model53.3%29.4%17.4%
Market30.9%32.0%37.1%
Final36.5%31.3%32.2%
Edge+5.6%-0.6%-4.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Atletico Tucuman

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.71.
  • The market prices Atletico Tucuman below our published probability: +5.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Tucum ↓ / Platense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 16% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Atletico Tucuman and Platense expected goals

Atletico Tucuman 1.44
Platense 0.71

Total expected goals: 2.15

Atletico Tucuman and Platense attack and defence ratings

Atletico Tucuman

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Platense

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense: result vs prediction

Atletico Tucuman 1 – 1 Platense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Semi-finals fixtures

Copa Argentina

Before and after this match

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Tucuman 36.5% 2.74 +5.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.7% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Tucuman36.5%
Draw31.3%
Platense32.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.4%
Under 2.563.6%
Both teams to scoreYes40.1%
No59.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.8%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)63.5%
Handicap -1Atletico Tucuman win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss46.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.5%
1-113.1%
0-012.8%

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense stats

Atletico Tucuman and Platense recent form

newest first
Atletico Tucuman WLDLLD
Platense WLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Atletico Tucuman wins 3Draws 2Platense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-04Atletico TucumanPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2025-03-29PlatenseAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2024-05-28Atletico TucumanPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2023-02-11PlatenseAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2022-10-05Atletico TucumanPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2022-02-18Atletico TucumanPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2021-10-30PlatenseAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina4-1
2019-03-20Atletico TucumanPlatenseCopa Argentina1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Tucuman vs Platense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 32.0%, away 37.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.12 2.90 2.54
Bet365 3.10 2.90 2.50
BetVictor 2.88 2.90 2.45
Betano 2.95 3.15 2.55
Betfair 3.00 3.00 2.45
Dafabet 3.00 3.15 2.50
Marathonbet 3.08 2.86 2.50
Pinnacle 3.23 2.65 2.60
SBO 2.72 2.84 2.32
William Hill 3.00 2.80 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▼ -0.04
X 2.90 —
2 2.50 ▼ -0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .