Liga Profesional Argentina · ·Clausura - 15

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Garuda Lions Prediction: Platense

2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.82.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Platense is the favourite, not a value bet.
Platense 57%
Draw 26%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Platense wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatenseDrawCentral Cordoba de Santiago
Model62.0%23.5%14.5%
Market54.9%27.2%17.8%
Final56.7%26.3%17.0%
Edge+1.8%-0.9%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Platense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (our 56.7% × 1.75 − 1).

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago match preview

Platense is favored to win against Central Cordoba de Santiago with a 56% probability, while the visitors have a 17% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-0 in favor of Platense, with an expected goals tally of 1.91 for Platense compared to 0.83 for Central Cordoba de Santiago. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 52%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 49%.

In terms of recent form, Platense has recorded one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five matches, while Central Cordoba de Santiago has struggled, with no wins and four draws in their last five games. The last encounter between the two teams resulted in a win for Central Cordoba de Santiago, giving them a slight historical edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense ↓ / Central Cordob → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Platense and Central Cordoba de Santiago expected goals

Platense 1.91
Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.74

Platense and Central Cordoba de Santiago attack and defence ratings

Platense

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.69 +69%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - 15 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Platense 56.7% 1.76 +1.8% 1.75
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.0% 2.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense56.7%
Draw26.3%
Central Cordoba de Santiago17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)43.3%
Handicap -1Platense win38.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss38.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.8%
1-011.4%
1-111.2%

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago stats

Platense and Central Cordoba de Santiago recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense and Central Cordoba de Santiago season so far

league record

Platense record

  • They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Central Cordoba de Santiago record

  • They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Platense wins 0Draws 1Central Cordoba de Santiago wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-20Central Cordoba de SantiagoPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 27.2%, away 17.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.72 3.51 5.30
Bet365 1.70 3.30 5.75
BetVictor 1.67 3.50 5.25
Betano 1.75 3.50 5.30
Betfair 1.73 3.30 5.00
Dafabet 1.69 3.40 5.20
Marathonbet 1.69 3.44 5.20
Pinnacle 1.69 3.57 5.45
SBO 1.67 3.10 4.42
William Hill 1.70 3.30 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▼ -0.03
X 3.42 ▲ +0.07
2 5.22 ▼ -0.18

7 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Platense Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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