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Liga Profesional Argentina · ·Clausura - 16

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus

Garuda Lions Prediction: Lanus

0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.74.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lanus is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Lanus

Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Santiago del EsteroReferee: Álvaro Carranza

Central Cordoba de Santiago 18%
Draw 27%
Lanus 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Lanus wins
56%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
14% of simulated outcomes

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCentral Cordoba de SantiagoDrawLanus
Model14.9%25.9%59.2%
Market18.9%26.8%54.3%
Final17.9%26.6%55.5%
Edge-1.0%-0.2%+1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Lanus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 55.5% × 1.75 − 1).

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus match preview

Central Cordoba de Santiago faces Lanus in their upcoming Liga Profesional match, with the probabilities indicating a challenging game for the home side. Central Cordoba has an 18% chance of victory, while Lanus is favored at 56%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with expected goals of 0.74 for Central Cordoba and 1.70 for Lanus.

Recent form shows Central Cordoba struggling with three consecutive losses and only two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Lanus has shown better performance, with two wins and three draws in their last six games. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters reveals a balanced competition, with both teams securing two wins and six draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Central Cordob ↓ / Lanus → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 14% 13% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus expected goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.74
Lanus 1.70

Total expected goals: 2.44

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus attack and defence ratings

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.68 +68%

Lanus

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - 16 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lanus 55.5% 1.80 +1.2% 1.75
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.1% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.8% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Central Cordoba de Santiago17.9%
Draw26.6%
Lanus55.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes43.8%
No56.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.5%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)82.1%
Handicap -1Lanus win34.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss40.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.7%
0-212.6%
1-112.1%
Compare prices for this pick

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus stats

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus recent form

newest first
Central Cordoba de Santiago LLLDDD
Lanus DDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus season so far

league record

Central Cordoba de Santiago record

  • They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lanus record

  • They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 6Draws 2Lanus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-24LanusCentral Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2025-08-22LanusCentral Cordoba de SantiagoCONMEBOL Sudamericana1-0
2025-08-15Central Cordoba de SantiagoLanusCONMEBOL Sudamericana1-0
2024-08-17LanusCentral Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-03-07LanusCentral Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional0-1
2023-10-16Central Cordoba de SantiagoLanusCopa de la Liga Profesional0-0
2023-04-12Central Cordoba de SantiagoLanusLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2022-08-26Central Cordoba de SantiagoLanusLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2022-05-09Central Cordoba de SantiagoLanusLiga Profesional Argentina3-3
2021-10-02LanusCentral Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 26.8%, away 54.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.05 3.54 1.75
Bet365 5.25 3.50 1.73
BetVictor 5.00 3.50 1.70
Betano 5.50 3.70 1.75
Betfair 4.75 3.50 1.73
Dafabet 4.90 3.50 1.72
Marathonbet 4.95 3.46 1.71
Pinnacle 5.18 3.57 1.73
SBO 4.31 3.16 1.67
William Hill 4.80 3.30 1.73
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.97 ▲ +1.12
X 3.50 ▲ +0.45
2 1.73 ▼ -0.35

13 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Lanus Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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