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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia

1 – 0 Full time

33′Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
51′Lucas Agustín Besozzi
59′Lucas Agustín BesozziMatías Sepúlveda
63′David BarbonaMaximiliano Porcel
63′Tiziano PerrottaLeandro Fernández
63′Agustin HauschJeremías Lucco
69′Franco Nahuel WatsonRamiro Carrera
69′Felipe Peña BiaforeDiego Agustín Medina
69′Allan Steven Wlk DuréYoshan Valois
83′José Canale
84′Eduardo SalvioGonzalo Thomás Lobos
89′Juan Manuel GutiérrezDomingo Blanco
90′Carlos Izquierdoz
90′César PérezTomas Agustin Perez
90′Diego Agustín Medina

Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos AiresReferee: Andres Merlos, Argentina

Lanus 49%
Draw 29%
Defensa Y Justicia 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
7 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 4
380 Accurate passes 407

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLanusDrawDefensa Y Justicia
Model38.2%28.2%33.5%
Market52.3%29.2%18.5%
Final48.8%28.9%22.3%
Edge-14.1%-0.9%+15.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lanus ↓ / Defensa Y Just → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Lanus and Defensa Y Justicia expected goals

Lanus 1.40
Defensa Y Justicia 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.70

Lanus and Defensa Y Justicia attack and defence ratings

Lanus

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Defensa Y Justicia

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia: result vs prediction

Lanus 1 – 0 Defensa Y Justicia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lanus 48.8% 2.05 -14.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.0% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.8% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lanus48.8%
Draw28.9%
Defensa Y Justicia22.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%
Both teams to scoreYes56.0%
No44.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.7%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)51.2%
Handicap -1Lanus win18.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss61.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
2-18.6%
1-08.2%

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia stats

Lanus and Defensa Y Justicia recent form

newest first
Lanus LDLWLL
Defensa Y Justicia WWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lanus and Defensa Y Justicia going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lanus record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Defensa Y Justicia record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Lanus wins 5Draws 3Defensa Y Justicia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-02Defensa Y JusticiaLanusLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2024-11-25LanusDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2024-03-03Defensa Y JusticiaLanusCopa de la Liga Profesional0-4
2023-10-07LanusDefensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional0-2
2023-07-09Defensa Y JusticiaLanusLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2022-06-10LanusDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2021-12-12Defensa Y JusticiaLanusLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2021-02-20LanusDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2021-01-23LanusDefensa Y JusticiaCONMEBOL Sudamericana0-3
2020-12-20LanusDefensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.3%, draw 28.9%, away 18.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.25 4.80
1xBet 1.81 3.26 5.14
Bet365 1.80 3.20 5.25
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.75
Betano 1.80 3.30 5.20
Betfair 1.80 3.30 4.60
Dafabet 1.76 3.20 5.00
Marathonbet 1.78 3.20 5.05
Pinnacle 1.83 3.28 5.41
SBO 1.82 2.92 3.88
Unibet 1.72 3.45 5.10
William Hill 1.80 3.10 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.05
X 3.23 ▲ +0.13
2 5.09 ▲ +0.15

17 snapshots recorded, from .