Rosario Central
vs
Gimnasia L.P.
1 – 2 Full time
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.
| Probability | Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 29.4% | 26.2% |
| Market | 50.9% | 28.7% | 20.5% |
| Final | 49.3% | 28.9% | 21.9% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +0.7% | +5.8% |
Why Rosario Central
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 1.02.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.43
Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P. attack and defence ratings
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.: result vs prediction
Rosario Central 1 – 2 Gimnasia L.P.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Lanus — team news & stats
- Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
- Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba
- Talleres Cordoba v Central Cordoba de Santiago — match page
- Banfield vs River Plate — team news & stats
- Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi
Before and after this match
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 49.3% | 2.03 | -6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosario Central | 49.3% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Gimnasia L.P. | 21.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosario Central win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. stats
Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P. recent form
| Rosario Central |
DLWDWW |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
LDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P. going into this match
Rosario Central record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia L.P. record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | Gimnasia L.P. | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Gimnasia L.P. | Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-15 | Rosario Central | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 28.7%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.34 | 4.63 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.28 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.37 | 4.71 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 2.99 | 4.00 |
| Superbet | 1.87 | 3.35 | 4.60 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .