Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi

2 – 1 Full time

9′A. Vombergar
28′Lucas Castro
45′Martin Garcia
46′K. CoronelM. Gimenez
46′H. LopezE. Viveros
53′Joaquin Pombo
54′A. Lescano
55′M. GarciaF. Perruzzi
55′N. GaitanM. Godoy
63′M. ValesE. Lopez
66′G. Veron
68′Rodrigo González
70′R. GonzalezN. Cordero
70′B. DadinA. Palavecino
72′N. OrozF. Paredes
81′T. MolinaG. Florentin
85′Matías Giménez Rojas
86′G. VeronI. Morales

Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos AiresReferee: Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina

Argentinos JRS 68%
Draw 22%
Aldosivi 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
74 Possession % 26
14 Corners 2
7 Fouls 14
1 Saves 4
517 Accurate passes 132

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArgentinos JRSDrawAldosivi
Model70.6%20.1%9.3%
Market66.9%22.7%10.3%
Final67.9%22.1%10.1%
Edge+3.7%-2.7%-1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Argentinos JRS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Argentinos JRS below the model: +3.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Argentinos JRS ↓ / Aldosivi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 12% 10% 2 14% 9% 3 10% 4+ 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi expected goals

Argentinos JRS 2.12
Aldosivi 0.65

Total expected goals: 2.78

Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi attack and defence ratings

Argentinos JRS

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Aldosivi

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi: result vs prediction

Argentinos JRS 2 – 1 Aldosivi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Argentinos JRS 67.9% 1.47 +3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.9% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Argentinos JRS win 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Argentinos JRS67.9%
Draw22.1%
Aldosivi10.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%
Both teams to scoreYes43.2%
No56.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.9%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)32.1%
Handicap -1Argentinos JRS win46.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss29.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.0%
1-012.3%
3-09.9%

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi stats

Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi recent form

newest first
Argentinos JRS DLWWWW
Aldosivi LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Argentinos JRS record

  • They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aldosivi record

  • They have won 0 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 23 matches.

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Argentinos JRS wins 0Draws 1Aldosivi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-31AldosiviArgentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2025-09-27AldosiviArgentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2025-08-01AldosiviArgentinos JRSCopa Argentina1-2
2025-03-14Argentinos JRSAldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.9%, draw 22.7%, away 10.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.39 4.00 10.00
1xBet 1.41 4.28 9.25
Bet365 1.44 4.00 9.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.20 9.50
Betano 1.42 4.15 9.25
Betfair 1.36 4.20 9.00
Dafabet 1.40 4.10 8.20
Marathonbet 1.38 4.20 9.10
Pinnacle 1.40 4.32 9.03
SBO 1.36 3.72 7.14
Unibet 1.40 4.10 10.00
William Hill 1.40 4.00 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.01
X 4.12 ▼ -0.08
2 9.06 ▼ -0.34

10 snapshots recorded, from .