Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 6
Lanus
vs
Argentinos JRS
1 – 1 Full time
Lanus
33%
Draw
31%
Argentinos JRS
36%
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lanus vs Argentinos JRS
| Probability | Lanus | Draw | Argentinos JRS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.1% | 26.9% | 50.0% |
| Market | 36.6% | 32.2% | 31.1% |
| Final | 33.3% | 30.9% | 35.9% |
| Edge | -13.5% | -5.3% | +18.8% |
Why Argentinos JRS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Argentinos JRS below the model: +18.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Lanus and Argentinos JRS expected goals
Lanus
1.05
Argentinos JRS
1.64
Total expected goals: 2.69
Lanus and Argentinos JRS attack and defence ratings
Lanus
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Argentinos JRS
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS: result vs prediction
Lanus 1 – 1 Argentinos JRS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Newells Old Boys v Banfield — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Argentinos JRS | 35.9% | 2.79 | +18.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lanus | 33.3% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Argentinos JRS | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% |
| No | 46.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Argentinos JRS win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.6% |
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS stats
Lanus and Argentinos JRS recent form
| Lanus |
LWLLLW |
| Argentinos JRS |
LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lanus and Argentinos JRS going into this match
Lanus record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Argentinos JRS record
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Lanus wins
2Draws
6Argentinos JRS wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Argentinos JRS | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Argentinos JRS | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-09 | Argentinos JRS | Lanus | Copa Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-30 | Argentinos JRS | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-21 | Lanus | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-06 | Lanus | Argentinos JRS | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-4 |
| 2021-10-30 | Argentinos JRS | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2020-03-16 | Lanus | Argentinos JRS | Copa de la Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2020-02-08 | Argentinos JRS | Lanus | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2019-09-07 | Lanus | Argentinos JRS | Copa Argentina | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lanus vs Argentinos JRS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 32.3%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.50 | 2.96 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.63 | 2.88 | 3.08 |
| 888Sport | 2.63 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 2.83 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 2.95 | 3.14 |
| SBO | 2.44 | 2.86 | 2.84 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 2.95 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.63 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.55 ▼ -0.17
X
2.90 ▲ +0.03
2
3.00 ▲ +0.16
7 snapshots recorded, from .