Independiente
vs
Independ. Rivadavia
0 – 0 Full time
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia
| Probability | Independiente | Draw | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 27.7% | 34.5% |
| Market | 46.8% | 29.3% | 23.9% |
| Final | 44.5% | 28.9% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -9.0% | -1.6% | +10.6% |
Why Independiente
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia attack and defence ratings
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia: result vs prediction
Independiente 0 – 0 Independ. Rivadavia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Newells Old Boys v Banfield — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Platense
Before and after this match
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independiente | 44.5% | 2.25 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independiente | 44.5% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Independiente win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia stats
Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia recent form
| Independiente |
WLLLWW |
| Independ. Rivadavia |
DLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Independiente and Independ. Rivadavia going into this match
Independiente record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Independ. Rivadavia record
- They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Independ. Rivadavia | Independiente | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Independiente | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 29.4%, away 23.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.25 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.15 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.16 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.23 | 4.03 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 2.94 | 3.50 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.98 | 3.25 | 3.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .