Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 6

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba

0 – 0 Full time

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, San Miguel de TucumanReferee: Andres Merlos, Argentina

Atletico Tucuman 36%
Draw 34%
Instituto Cordoba 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TucumanDrawInstituto Cordoba
Model40.2%38.4%21.4%
Market34.4%32.2%33.4%
Final35.8%33.7%30.4%
Edge+5.8%+6.2%-12.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Tucuman

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.59.
  • The market prices Atletico Tucuman below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Tucum ↓ / Instituto Cord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 12% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Atletico Tucuman and Instituto Cordoba expected goals

Atletico Tucuman 0.91
Instituto Cordoba 0.59

Total expected goals: 1.50

Atletico Tucuman and Instituto Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Atletico Tucuman

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Instituto Cordoba

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba: result vs prediction

Atletico Tucuman 0 – 0 Instituto Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 6 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Tucuman 35.8% 2.79 +5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 72.2% 1.38 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.6% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Tucuman35.8%
Draw33.7%
Instituto Cordoba30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.1%
Under 2.580.9%
Both teams to scoreYes27.8%
No72.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)66.3%
X2 (draw or away)64.2%
Handicap -1Atletico Tucuman win15.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.5%
1-019.1%
1-113.2%

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba stats

Atletico Tucuman and Instituto Cordoba recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Tucuman and Instituto Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Tucuman record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Instituto Cordoba record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Atletico Tucuman wins 0Draws 2Instituto Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-20Instituto CordobaAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2025-10-12Instituto CordobaAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2025-04-08Atletico TucumanInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 32.1%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.66 2.96 2.80
1xBet 2.81 2.95 2.79
888Sport 2.50 2.90 2.80
Bet365 2.90 2.80 2.80
BetVictor 2.75 3.00 2.75
Betano 2.85 2.87 2.85
Betfair 2.63 3.00 2.80
Dafabet 2.70 2.90 2.85
Marathonbet 2.76 2.90 2.74
Pinnacle 2.90 2.99 2.83
SBO 2.54 2.80 2.63
Superbet 2.70 2.92 2.95
Unibet 2.60 3.00 2.88
William Hill 2.62 2.80 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.73 ▲ +0.09
X 2.91 —
2 2.80 ▼ -0.10

2 snapshots recorded, from .