Sarmiento Junin
vs
Estudiantes L.P.
2 – 0 Full time
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.
| Probability | Sarmiento Junin | Draw | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 26.8% | 49.0% |
| Market | 28.5% | 32.0% | 39.5% |
| Final | 27.4% | 30.7% | 41.9% |
| Edge | -4.3% | -5.2% | +9.5% |
Why Estudiantes L.P.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.10.
- The market prices Estudiantes L.P. below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sarmiento Junin and Estudiantes L.P. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Sarmiento Junin and Estudiantes L.P. attack and defence ratings
Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P.: result vs prediction
Sarmiento Junin 2 – 0 Estudiantes L.P.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Newells Old Boys v Banfield — match page
- Barracas Central vs Platense
Before and after this match
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 41.9% | 2.39 | +9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarmiento Junin | 27.4% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Estudiantes L.P. | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estudiantes L.P. win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 9.4% |
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. stats
Sarmiento Junin and Estudiantes L.P. recent form
| Sarmiento Junin |
WWWLLL |
| Estudiantes L.P. |
WWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sarmiento Junin and Estudiantes L.P. going into this match
Sarmiento Junin record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Estudiantes L.P. record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Estudiantes L.P. | Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 31.9%, away 39.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.25 | 2.98 | 2.34 |
| 1xBet | 3.31 | 2.99 | 2.40 |
| 888Sport | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 2.87 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 2.90 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 3.25 | 2.93 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 3.38 | 3.02 | 2.47 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 2.80 | 2.36 |
| Superbet | 3.40 | 2.95 | 2.40 |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 2.95 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .