Gimnasia L.P.
vs
Gimnasia M.
2 – 3 Full time
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
| Probability | Gimnasia L.P. | Draw | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 29.6% | 28.1% |
| Market | 52.3% | 28.5% | 19.2% |
| Final | 49.8% | 28.8% | 21.4% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +1.1% | +8.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimnasia L.P. and Gimnasia M. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Gimnasia L.P. and Gimnasia M. attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: result vs prediction
Gimnasia L.P. 2 – 3 Gimnasia M.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Newells Old Boys v Banfield — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
- Barracas Central vs Platense
Before and after this match
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia L.P. | 49.8% | 2.01 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia L.P. | 49.8% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Gimnasia M. | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia L.P. win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. stats
Gimnasia L.P. and Gimnasia M. recent form
| Gimnasia L.P. |
DLWWWL |
| Gimnasia M. |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia L.P. and Gimnasia M. going into this match
Gimnasia L.P. record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Gimnasia M. record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Gimnasia M. | Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 28.5%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.15 | 4.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.38 | 4.88 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.25 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.30 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.30 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.32 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.46 | 5.10 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.11 | 4.22 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 3.35 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.15 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .