Estudiantes L.P.
vs
Barracas Central
3 – 1 Full time
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central
| Probability | Estudiantes L.P. | Draw | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.2% | 24.8% | 8.0% |
| Market | 53.0% | 29.5% | 17.5% |
| Final | 56.5% | 28.3% | 15.1% |
| Edge | +14.3% | -4.7% | -9.5% |
Why Estudiantes L.P.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.41.
- The market prices Estudiantes L.P. below the model: +14.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central attack and defence ratings
Estudiantes L.P.
Barracas Central
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central: result vs prediction
Estudiantes L.P. 3 – 1 Barracas Central
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 56.5% | 1.77 | +14.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Estudiantes L.P. win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 56.5% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Barracas Central | 15.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.1% |
| No | 71.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estudiantes L.P. win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.2% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.2% |
| 2-0 | 17.3% | |
| 0-0 | 13.7% |
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central stats
Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central recent form
| Estudiantes L.P. |
LWWDLL |
| Barracas Central |
LLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Estudiantes L.P. | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Barracas Central | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-25 | Barracas Central | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Estudiantes L.P. | Barracas Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-02 | Estudiantes L.P. | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 5-2 |
| 2022-07-20 | Estudiantes L.P. | Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-16 | Barracas Central | Estudiantes L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.0%, draw 29.5%, away 17.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 3.25 | 5.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.20 | 5.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.13 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.35 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.08 | 5.72 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.14 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.13 | 5.48 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.01 | 4.64 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.73 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .