Aldosivi
vs
Independ. Rivadavia
0 – 2 Full time
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia
| Probability | Aldosivi | Draw | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 35.3% | 30.6% |
| Market | 20.2% | 30.0% | 49.8% |
| Final | 23.7% | 31.3% | 45.0% |
| Edge | +13.9% | +5.3% | -19.2% |
Why Independ. Rivadavia
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aldosivi and Independ. Rivadavia expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.82
Aldosivi and Independ. Rivadavia attack and defence ratings
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia: result vs prediction
Aldosivi 0 – 2 Independ. Rivadavia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independ. Rivadavia | 45.0% | 2.22 | -19.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aldosivi | 23.7% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 45.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.0% |
| No | 63.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Independ. Rivadavia win | 10.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 69.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.6% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.9% |
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia stats
Aldosivi and Independ. Rivadavia recent form
| Aldosivi |
LDLLLD |
| Independ. Rivadavia |
DDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Aldosivi | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Aldosivi | Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Independ. Rivadavia | Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-17 | Independ. Rivadavia | Aldosivi | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-10 | Aldosivi | Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2017-12-09 | Aldosivi | Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2014-04-06 | Independ. Rivadavia | Aldosivi | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2013-10-05 | Aldosivi | Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2013-03-23 | Independ. Rivadavia | Aldosivi | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2012-09-22 | Aldosivi | Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.2%, draw 30.0%, away 49.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.40 | 3.15 | 1.90 |
| 1xBet | 4.84 | 3.16 | 1.87 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.10 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.65 | 3.10 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.00 | 1.83 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.15 | 1.93 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 3.10 | 1.83 |
| Pinnacle | 4.77 | 3.09 | 1.83 |
| SBO | 3.69 | 2.80 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 4.45 | 3.10 | 1.90 |
| Unibet | 4.40 | 3.20 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.00 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .