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Copa Argentina · Full time ·Round of 16

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba

1 – 1 Full time

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, RosarioReferee: L. Rey Hilfer

Platense 28%
Draw 35%
Instituto Cordoba 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Instituto Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatenseDrawInstituto Cordoba
Model28.8%40.6%30.6%
Market27.3%32.9%39.9%
Final27.6%34.8%37.5%
Edge+1.5%+7.7%-9.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Instituto Cordoba

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense ↓ / Instituto Cord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 26% 16% 1 16% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 74%
2+ goals 42%
3+ goals 17%
No goals 26%

Platense and Instituto Cordoba expected goals

Platense 0.69
Instituto Cordoba 0.71

Total expected goals: 1.40

Platense and Instituto Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Platense

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Instituto Cordoba

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.51 -49%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba: result vs prediction

Platense 1 – 1 Instituto Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Copa Argentina

Before and after this match

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Instituto Cordoba 37.5% 2.66 -9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83.2% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score No 73.3% 1.36 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.6% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense27.6%
Draw34.8%
Instituto Cordoba37.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.516.8%
Under 2.583.2%
Both teams to scoreYes26.7%
No73.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.5%
12 (either side)65.2%
X2 (draw or away)72.4%
Handicap -1Instituto Cordoba win9.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss69.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-025.7%
0-116.4%
1-015.6%

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba stats

Platense and Instituto Cordoba recent form

newest first
Platense WDDDWL
Instituto Cordoba DWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Platense wins 1Draws 2Instituto Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-30Instituto CordobaPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2026-01-26PlatenseInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2025-08-10Instituto CordobaPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2025-02-09PlatenseInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-08-11Instituto CordobaPlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2023-04-07PlatenseInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2019-04-14PlatenseInstituto CordobaPrimera Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense vs Instituto Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.3%, draw 32.9%, away 39.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.35 2.86 2.38
1xBet 3.71 2.74 2.36
Bet365 3.50 2.90 2.30
BetVictor 3.30 2.88 2.25
Betano 3.45 2.95 2.25
Betfair 3.10 2.90 2.40
Dafabet 3.52 2.83 2.42
Marathonbet 3.62 2.69 2.32
Pinnacle 3.68 2.60 2.37
SBO 3.07 2.78 2.15
Superbet 3.45 2.92 2.27
Unibet 3.15 2.95 2.45
William Hill 3.25 2.75 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.45 ▲ +0.55
X 2.86 ▲ +0.07
2 2.36 ▼ -0.28

13 snapshots recorded, from .