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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo

1 – 0 Full time

39′Jhon Córdoba
50′Ignacio Perruzzi
53′G. Cerato
64′I. PerruzziM. Rio
64′M. RealiF. Gulli
64′J. AlvarezE. Salas
65′Nicolás Tripichio
71′Enzo Alan Salas
73′M. GallardoJ. Mendez
73′M. TisseraF. Suarez
80′J. E. Cordoba MosqueraJ. Acevedo
80′J. LazaroN. Guerra
85′J. GalvanA. Massaccesi
90′Diego Alejandro Sosa
90′Ezequiel Herrera
90′Alexis Cuello

Estadio Presidente Peron, CordobaReferee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina

Instituto Cordoba 50%
Draw 32%
San Lorenzo 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
49 Possession % 51
11 Corners 1
8 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 2
262 Accurate passes 301

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInstituto CordobaDrawSan Lorenzo
Model48.4%39.3%12.3%
Market50.1%29.9%19.9%
Final49.7%32.3%18.0%
Edge-1.8%+9.4%-7.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Instituto Cordoba

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.94 vs 0.34.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Instituto Cord ↓ / San Lorenzo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 29% 1 25% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 71%
2+ goals 37%
3+ goals 14%
No goals 29%

Instituto Cordoba and San Lorenzo expected goals

Instituto Cordoba 0.94
San Lorenzo 0.34

Total expected goals: 1.28

Instituto Cordoba and San Lorenzo attack and defence ratings

Instituto Cordoba

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.61 -39%

San Lorenzo

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo: result vs prediction

Instituto Cordoba 1 – 0 San Lorenzo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Instituto Cordoba 49.7% 2.01 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 86.3% 1.16 — —
Both teams to score No 81.5% 1.23 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Instituto Cordoba49.7%
Draw32.3%
San Lorenzo18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.513.7%
Under 2.586.3%
Both teams to scoreYes18.5%
No81.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)67.7%
X2 (draw or away)50.3%
Handicap -1Instituto Cordoba win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)29.6%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-028.8%
1-025.2%
2-012.2%

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo stats

Instituto Cordoba and San Lorenzo recent form

newest first
Instituto Cordoba DDWWWW
San Lorenzo DWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Instituto Cordoba and San Lorenzo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Instituto Cordoba record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Lorenzo record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Instituto Cordoba wins 1Draws 3San Lorenzo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-24San LorenzoInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2025-08-23San LorenzoInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2025-02-18Instituto CordobaSan LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2024-10-05Instituto CordobaSan LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2023-05-20San LorenzoInstituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.1%, draw 29.9%, away 19.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.88 3.10 4.65
1xBet 1.90 3.14 4.78
Bet365 1.90 3.20 4.75
BetVictor 1.87 3.13 4.80
Betano 1.93 3.25 5.00
Betfair 1.90 3.10 4.50
Dafabet 1.87 3.10 4.70
Marathonbet 1.87 3.08 4.70
Pinnacle 1.87 3.19 4.89
SBO 1.86 2.93 4.36
Superbet 1.92 3.15 4.70
Unibet 1.83 3.20 4.80
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.87 ▼ -0.04
X 3.13 ▲ +0.05
2 4.70 ▲ +0.17

11 snapshots recorded, from .