Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
Deportivo Riestra
vs
Velez Sarsfield
1 – 1 Full time
Deportivo Riestra
33%
Draw
33%
Velez Sarsfield
34%
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
| Probability | Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 31.8% | 39.9% |
| Market | 34.1% | 33.5% | 32.4% |
| Final | 32.7% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| Edge | -5.8% | -1.7% | +7.5% |
Why Velez Sarsfield
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Velez Sarsfield below the model: +7.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield expected goals
Deportivo Riestra
0.97
Velez Sarsfield
1.19
Total expected goals: 2.17
Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Riestra
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Velez Sarsfield
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield: result vs prediction
Deportivo Riestra 1 – 1 Velez Sarsfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento Junin — match page
- Boca Juniors vs Lanus — team news & stats
- Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P. — match page
- Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — team news & stats
- Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba
- Talleres Cordoba v Central Cordoba de Santiago — match page
- Banfield vs River Plate — team news & stats
- Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi
Before and after this match
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velez Sarsfield | 34.2% | 2.92 | +7.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Riestra | 32.7% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Velez Sarsfield | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Velez Sarsfield win | 17.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-1 | 12.4% |
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield stats
Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield recent form
| Deportivo Riestra |
DDLWLL |
| Velez Sarsfield |
DDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield going into this match
Deportivo Riestra record
- They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 23 matches.
Velez Sarsfield record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Deportivo Riestra wins
3Draws
1Velez Sarsfield wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Deportivo Riestra | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Velez Sarsfield | Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-11 | Deportivo Riestra | Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-15 | Deportivo Riestra | Velez Sarsfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 33.5%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.72 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.79 | 2.83 | 2.93 |
| 888Sport | 2.90 | 2.63 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 2.82 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 2.78 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.79 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| SBO | 2.47 | 2.63 | 2.74 |
| Superbet | 2.72 | 2.85 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.85 | 2.75 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.75 ▼ -0.17
X
2.80 ▲ +0.02
2
2.90 ▲ +0.21
14 snapshots recorded, from .