Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba

0 – 0 Full time

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, TucumanReferee: S. Martinez

Atletico Tucuman 38%
Draw 34%
Belgrano Cordoba 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TucumanDrawBelgrano Cordoba
Model47.7%35.0%17.2%
Market34.7%33.3%32.0%
Final37.9%33.7%28.3%
Edge+13.1%+1.7%-14.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Tucuman

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.55.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atletico Tucuman below the model: +13.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Tucum ↓ / Belgrano Cordo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 1 20% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 20%

Atletico Tucuman and Belgrano Cordoba expected goals

Atletico Tucuman 1.10
Belgrano Cordoba 0.55

Total expected goals: 1.65

Atletico Tucuman and Belgrano Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Atletico Tucuman

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Belgrano Cordoba

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba: result vs prediction

Atletico Tucuman 0 – 0 Belgrano Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Tucuman 37.9% 2.64 +13.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.9% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score No 70.5% 1.42 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.7% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Tucuman37.9%
Draw33.7%
Belgrano Cordoba28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.1%
Under 2.576.9%
Both teams to scoreYes29.5%
No70.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)66.3%
X2 (draw or away)62.1%
Handicap -1Atletico Tucuman win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)27.0%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.3%
1-019.9%
1-112.8%

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba stats

Atletico Tucuman and Belgrano Cordoba recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Tucuman and Belgrano Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Tucuman record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Belgrano Cordoba record

  • They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Atletico Tucuman wins 0Draws 1Belgrano Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-25Belgrano CordobaAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 33.3%, away 32.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.68 2.82 2.92
1xBet 2.74 2.81 3.01
Bet365 2.70 2.88 3.00
BetVictor 2.70 2.88 2.90
Betano 2.77 2.80 3.00
Betfair 2.63 2.90 2.88
Dafabet 2.70 2.80 2.85
Marathonbet 2.69 2.76 2.96
Pinnacle 2.76 2.76 3.08
SBO 2.47 2.66 2.70
Superbet 2.75 2.90 2.92
Unibet 2.85 2.95 2.70
William Hill 2.62 2.70 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 —
X 2.81 ▼ -0.05
2 2.92 ▲ +0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .