Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 6
Belgrano Cordoba
vs
Defensa Y Justicia
1 – 2 Full time
Belgrano Cordoba
57%
Draw
26%
Defensa Y Justicia
17%
Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
| Probability | Belgrano Cordoba | Draw | Defensa Y Justicia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.5% | 19.0% | 9.5% |
| Market | 52.3% | 28.5% | 19.1% |
| Final | 57.1% | 26.2% | 16.7% |
| Edge | +19.2% | -9.5% | -9.6% |
Why Belgrano Cordoba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Belgrano Cordoba below the model: +19.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Belgrano Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia expected goals
Belgrano Cordoba
2.26
Defensa Y Justicia
0.72
Total expected goals: 2.99
Belgrano Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia attack and defence ratings
Belgrano Cordoba
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Defensa Y Justicia
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.66 +66%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia: result vs prediction
Belgrano Cordoba 1 – 2 Defensa Y Justicia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Newells Old Boys v Banfield — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 57.1% | 1.75 | +19.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Belgrano Cordoba win | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 57.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Defensa Y Justicia | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Belgrano Cordoba win | 48.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 28.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 3-0 | 9.8% |
Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia stats
Belgrano Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia recent form
| Belgrano Cordoba |
LWWDLW |
| Defensa Y Justicia |
DWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Belgrano Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia going into this match
Belgrano Cordoba record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Defensa Y Justicia record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Belgrano Cordoba wins
1Draws
1Defensa Y Justicia wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Defensa Y Justicia | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Defensa Y Justicia | Belgrano Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-24 | Belgrano Cordoba | Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Belgrano Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.2%, draw 28.5%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.35 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.38 | 4.94 |
| 888Sport | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.30 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 3.25 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.32 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.44 | 5.21 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.15 | 4.30 |
| Superbet | 1.82 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.80 —
X
3.30 ▲ +0.05
2
4.92 ▼ -0.05
4 snapshots recorded, from .