Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

1 – 2 Full time

13′U. Ortegoza
24′L. Godoy
28′L. Di Placido
31′U. OrtegozaM. Zaracho
31′M. MiljevicG. A. Lodico
46′T. ConechnyD. Vergara
67′M. Perez
71′L. Perez
81′L. DiazR. Ruiz
81′L. DiazA. Fernandez
86′R. TesuriG. Compagnucci
86′N. FrancoJ. Fernandez
88′I. GalvanJ. Infante
90′R. Ruiz
90′M. ZarachoE. Torres

Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, AvellanedaReferee: P. Echavarria

Racing Club 44%
Draw 30%
Atletico Tucuman 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
75 Possession % 25
3 Corners 3
8 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 3
584 Accurate passes 126

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing ClubDrawAtletico Tucuman
Model19.6%34.8%45.6%
Market51.6%28.7%19.7%
Final43.6%30.2%26.2%
Edge-32.0%+6.1%+25.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing Club ↓ / Atletico Tucum → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 18% 11% 1 10% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Racing Club and Atletico Tucuman expected goals

Racing Club 0.63
Atletico Tucuman 1.10

Total expected goals: 1.73

Racing Club and Atletico Tucuman attack and defence ratings

Racing Club

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Atletico Tucuman

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.51 -49%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman: result vs prediction

Racing Club 1 – 2 Atletico Tucuman

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Racing Club 43.6% 2.29 -32.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.0% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score No 67.7% 1.48 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 80.4% 1.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing Club43.6%
Draw30.2%
Atletico Tucuman26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.0%
Under 2.575.0%
Both teams to scoreYes32.3%
No67.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Racing Club win5.4%
Push (exactly one goal)14.2%
Loss80.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.0%
0-118.3%
1-113.5%

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman stats

Racing Club and Atletico Tucuman recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing Club and Atletico Tucuman going into this match

league record before kick-off

Racing Club record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Tucuman record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Racing Club wins 1Draws 4Atletico Tucuman wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-04Atletico TucumanRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina0-3
2024-09-01Atletico TucumanRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2023-04-24Racing ClubAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina1-3
2022-10-10Racing ClubAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2022-03-14Atletico TucumanRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina0-4
2021-11-06Atletico TucumanRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2020-11-20Atletico TucumanRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina2-0
2020-11-01Racing ClubAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina1-4
2020-01-26Racing ClubAtletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing Club vs Atletico Tucuman odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 28.3%, away 19.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.75 3.35 5.00
1xBet 1.83 3.34 4.83
Bet365 1.85 3.25 5.00
BetVictor 1.83 3.30 4.75
Betano 1.80 3.40 5.00
Betfair 1.73 3.40 5.00
Dafabet 1.68 3.35 5.40
Marathonbet 1.80 3.28 4.75
Pinnacle 1.86 3.38 4.83
SBO 1.74 2.99 4.21
Unibet 1.73 3.50 5.00
William Hill 1.80 3.20 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 —
X 3.29 ▼ -0.01
2 4.79 ▲ +0.14

12 snapshots recorded, from .