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Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club

3 – 1 Full time

18′Matías Zaracho
20′M. Miljevic
27′S. StuderA. Vigo
39′G. Rios
45′Alex Arce
63′M. ZarachoA. Fernandez
63′T. ConechnyA. Campo
68′L. BuccaJ. M. Elordi
68′M. SalasF. Sartori
70′F. Sartori
74′Gonzalo Ríos
76′U. OrtegozaD. Vergara
78′Adrián Fernández
86′José Florentín
89′G. RiosA. Osella
90′E. CannavoF. Fraga
90′A. Arce

Estadio Bautista Gargantini, MendozaReferee: Alvaro Caranza, Argentina

Independ. Rivadavia 44%
Draw 31%
Racing Club 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
42 Possession % 58
3 Corners 5
15 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
202 Accurate passes 304

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIndepend. RivadaviaDrawRacing Club
Model46.4%31.2%22.4%
Market43.4%31.1%25.5%
Final44.1%31.1%24.7%
Edge+3.0%+0.1%-3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Independ. Rivadavia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Independ. Rivadavia below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Independ. Riva ↓ / Racing Club → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Independ. Rivadavia and Racing Club expected goals

Independ. Rivadavia 1.30
Racing Club 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.12

Independ. Rivadavia and Racing Club attack and defence ratings

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Racing Club

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club: result vs prediction

Independ. Rivadavia 3 – 1 Racing Club

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Independ. Rivadavia 44.1% 2.27 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.7% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Independ. Rivadavia44.1%
Draw31.1%
Racing Club24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.8%
Under 2.564.2%
Both teams to scoreYes42.2%
No57.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)68.9%
X2 (draw or away)55.9%
Handicap -1Independ. Rivadavia win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss53.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.2%
1-114.1%
0-013.2%

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club stats

Independ. Rivadavia and Racing Club recent form

newest first
Independ. Rivadavia WDDLDW
Racing Club DWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Independ. Rivadavia and Racing Club going into this match

league record before kick-off

Independ. Rivadavia record

  • They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Club record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Independ. Rivadavia wins 2Draws 1Racing Club wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-26Racing ClubIndepend. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2025-10-07Racing ClubIndepend. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2025-03-28Independ. RivadaviaRacing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2024-11-10Racing ClubIndepend. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 31.1%, away 25.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.24 3.00 3.45
1xBet 2.18 3.08 3.72
Bet365 2.10 3.10 3.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.13 3.50
Betano 2.25 2.95 3.75
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.50
Dafabet 2.10 3.05 3.75
Marathonbet 2.11 3.04 3.72
Pinnacle 2.30 3.04 3.71
SBO 2.20 2.88 3.26
Superbet 2.15 3.10 3.80
Unibet 2.16 3.15 3.50
William Hill 2.20 2.90 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 ▲ +0.03
X 3.04 ▼ -0.06
2 3.71 ▲ +0.16

9 snapshots recorded, from .