Liga Profesional Argentina
·
Full time
·Clausura - 6
Racing Club
vs
Boca Juniors
1 – 1 Full time
Racing Club
30%
Draw
31%
Boca Juniors
39%
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Club vs Boca Juniors
| Probability | Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 29.3% | 37.6% |
| Market | 28.6% | 32.0% | 39.4% |
| Final | 29.8% | 31.3% | 38.9% |
| Edge | +4.6% | -2.8% | -1.8% |
Why Boca Juniors
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Racing Club and Boca Juniors expected goals
Racing Club
1.22
Boca Juniors
1.32
Total expected goals: 2.54
Racing Club and Boca Juniors attack and defence ratings
Racing Club
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Boca Juniors
Attack
1.43 +43%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors: result vs prediction
Racing Club 1 – 1 Boca Juniors
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
- Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe — match page
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — team news & stats
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.
- Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Cordoba — match page
- Independiente vs Independ. Rivadavia — team news & stats
- Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra
- Newells Old Boys v Banfield — match page
- Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boca Juniors | 38.9% | 2.57 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Club | 29.8% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Boca Juniors | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Boca Juniors win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 9.1% |
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors stats
Racing Club and Boca Juniors recent form
| Racing Club |
WLLLDW |
| Boca Juniors |
WDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Racing Club and Boca Juniors going into this match
Racing Club record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boca Juniors record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
4Racing Club wins
4Draws
1Boca Juniors wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Racing Club | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Racing Club | Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 4-2 |
| 2023-10-24 | Racing Club | Boca Juniors | Copa de la Liga Profesional | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-31 | Racing Club | Boca Juniors | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-24 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 32.0%, away 39.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.98 | 2.95 | 2.54 |
| 1xBet | 3.34 | 2.96 | 2.40 |
| 888Sport | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 2.92 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.42 | 3.00 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 2.99 | 2.83 | 2.36 |
| Superbet | 3.35 | 2.92 | 2.42 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.29 ▲ +0.04
X
2.94 ▲ +0.03
2
2.39 ▼ -0.02
4 snapshots recorded, from .