Liga Profesional Argentina · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Tigre vs Barracas Central

0 – 0 Full time

46′F. BrueraJ. Candia
47′Dardo Miloc
48′Nicolás Demartini
65′M. GarayB. Leyes
65′D. MartinezR. Barrios
69′S. LopezT. Serrago
69′J. SaraleguiI. Subiabre
78′M. MendezA. Oviedo
78′N. BriascoG. Maroni
78′E. PereyraR. Insua
90′Ian Subiabre
90′Gonzalo Maroni

Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos AiresReferee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

Tigre 53%
Draw 30%
Barracas Central 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
3 Corners 5
11 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 1
290 Accurate passes 304

Tigre vs Barracas Central overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tigre vs Barracas Central

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTigreDrawBarracas Central
Model59.0%27.9%13.2%
Market51.1%30.5%18.4%
Final53.1%29.8%17.1%
Edge+7.9%-2.6%-5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Tigre

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.59.
  • The market prices Tigre below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tigre ↓ / Barracas Centr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 17% 12% 2 14% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Tigre and Barracas Central expected goals

Tigre 1.52
Barracas Central 0.59

Total expected goals: 2.11

Tigre and Barracas Central attack and defence ratings

Tigre

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Barracas Central

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tigre vs Barracas Central: result vs prediction

Tigre 0 – 0 Barracas Central

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina

Before and after this match

Tigre vs Barracas Central markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tigre 53.1% 1.88 +7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 64.2% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.9% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.0% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tigre53.1%
Draw29.8%
Barracas Central17.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.2%
Under 2.564.8%
Both teams to scoreYes35.8%
No64.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.9%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)46.9%
Handicap -1Tigre win32.1%
Push (exactly one goal)27.0%
Loss41.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.4%
2-014.0%
0-013.2%

Tigre vs Barracas Central stats

Tigre and Barracas Central recent form

newest first
Tigre WLDLWD
Barracas Central LLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tigre and Barracas Central going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tigre record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Barracas Central record

  • They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tigre vs Barracas Central head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Tigre wins 3Draws 3Barracas Central wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-25Barracas CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina2-1
2025-10-20TigreBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina2-2
2025-04-12Barracas CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina1-0
2024-12-02Barracas CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina0-0
2023-07-17TigreBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2022-06-11TigreBarracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina1-1
2022-02-21Barracas CentralTigreLiga Profesional Argentina0-2
2021-11-23TigreBarracas CentralPrimera Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tigre vs Barracas Central odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.1%, draw 30.5%, away 18.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.00 5.10
1xBet 1.85 3.10 5.24
Bet365 1.85 3.00 5.25
BetVictor 1.83 3.10 5.25
Betano 1.91 3.10 5.50
Betfair 1.85 3.10 4.75
Dafabet 1.84 3.05 5.20
Marathonbet 1.82 3.04 5.15
Pinnacle 1.85 3.12 5.25
SBO 1.85 2.91 4.46
Superbet 1.87 3.10 5.10
Unibet 1.87 3.10 4.70
William Hill 1.85 2.90 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.03
X 3.10 ▲ +0.02
2 5.15 ▼ -0.05

11 snapshots recorded, from .