Junior
vs
Santa Fe
1 – 1 Full time
Junior vs Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Santa Fe
| Probability | Junior | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 30.5% | 46.3% |
| Market | 48.8% | 28.0% | 23.2% |
| Final | 42.4% | 28.6% | 29.0% |
| Edge | -25.6% | +2.5% | +23.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Junior and Santa Fe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Junior and Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
Junior
Santa Fe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Junior vs Santa Fe: result vs prediction
Junior 1 – 1 Santa Fe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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- Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota — team news & stats
- Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira — match page
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Before and after this match
Junior vs Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 42.4% | 2.36 | -25.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 42.4% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Santa Fe | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win | 8.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 76.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Junior vs Santa Fe stats
Junior and Santa Fe recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Junior and Santa Fe going into this match
Junior record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santa Fe record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Junior vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Junior | Santa Fe | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Fe | Junior | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Fe | Junior | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Junior | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Santa Fe | Junior | Primera A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Junior vs Santa Fe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 28.0%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.32 | 4.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.32 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.34 | 4.24 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .