Jaguares
vs
America de Cali
2 – 2 Full time
Jaguares vs America de Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jaguares vs America de Cali
| Probability | Jaguares | Draw | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.7% | 28.9% | 52.4% |
| Market | 21.2% | 27.6% | 51.2% |
| Final | 20.6% | 28.0% | 51.5% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +1.3% | +1.2% |
Why America de Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jaguares and America de Cali expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Jaguares and America de Cali attack and defence ratings
Jaguares
America de Cali
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jaguares vs America de Cali: result vs prediction
Jaguares 2 – 2 America de Cali
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
- Junior v Santa Fe — match page
- Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional — team news & stats
- Águilas Doradas vs Chico
- Independiente Medellin v Llaneros — match page
- Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota — team news & stats
- Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira — match page
- Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta
Before and after this match
Jaguares vs America de Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 51.5% | 1.94 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jaguares | 20.6% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| America de Cali | 51.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 47.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.7% |
Jaguares vs America de Cali stats
Jaguares and America de Cali recent form
| Jaguares |
WDLLLW |
| America de Cali |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jaguares and America de Cali going into this match
Jaguares record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
America de Cali record
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jaguares vs America de Cali head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | America de Cali | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jaguares vs America de Cali odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 27.6%, away 51.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.40 | 3.35 | 1.84 |
| 1xBet | 4.39 | 3.34 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 3.34 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | 4.56 | 3.39 | 1.82 |
| Superbet | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.82 |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.20 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .