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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 9

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar

3 – 0 Full time

29′C. Tovar
45′Ever Meza
45′T. Angel
46′C. EsparragozaL. Palacios
60′E. W. Meza MercadoJ. Mosquera
63′J. MurilloE. Tortolero
63′T. AngelD. Valencia
63′L. QuinonesJ. Lucumi
63′Y. Guzman
74′J. EscobarJ. Cavadia
74′Y. GuzmanJ. A. Camacho Anchico
74′F. PardoC. Villegas
74′C. VergaraM. Martinez
75′Marcos Mina
84′J. CastilloJ. Viveros

Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de CaliReferee: Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa

America de Cali 72%
Draw 19%
Alianza Valledupar 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
62 Possession % 38
3 Corners 4
15 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
435 Accurate passes 236

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmerica de CaliDrawAlianza Valledupar
Model77.6%16.0%6.4%
Market70.6%19.8%9.6%
Final72.3%18.9%8.8%
Edge+7.0%-3.9%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why America de Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices America de Cali below the model: +7.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

America de Cal ↓ / Alianza Valled → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 14% 9% 3 12% 4+ 13% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 5%

America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar expected goals

America de Cali 2.47
Alianza Valledupar 0.61

Total expected goals: 3.08

America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar attack and defence ratings

America de Cali

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Alianza Valledupar

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: result vs prediction

America de Cali 3 – 0 Alianza Valledupar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 America de Cali 72.3% 1.38 +7.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.2% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 America de Cali win 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2America de Cali72.3%
Draw18.9%
Alianza Valledupar8.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.4%
Under 2.540.6%
Both teams to scoreYes42.3%
No57.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.2%
12 (either side)81.1%
X2 (draw or away)27.7%
Handicap -1America de Cali win56.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss22.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.1%
3-011.6%
1-010.7%

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar stats

America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar recent form

newest first
America de Cali DWDWWW
Alianza Valledupar LLDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar going into this match

league record before kick-off

America de Cali record

  • They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Alianza Valledupar record

  • They have won 3 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7America de Cali wins 0Draws 3Alianza Valledupar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28Alianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-3
2025-08-31Alianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliPrimera A1-0
2025-03-15America de CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A3-0
2024-09-23Alianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-1
2024-03-10America de CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A2-0
2024-03-07Alianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliCONMEBOL Sudamericana2-1
2023-09-03Alianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliPrimera A2-3
2023-03-19America de CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A1-0
2022-10-18Alianza ValleduparAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-2
2022-05-03America de CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.6%, draw 19.8%, away 9.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.35 4.50 9.50
1xBet 1.32 4.70 9.70
Bet365 1.30 4.75 11.00
BetVictor 1.29 4.80 10.00
Betano 1.35 5.00 12.00
Betfair 1.30 4.75 11.00
Dafabet 1.32 4.90 9.40
Marathonbet 1.31 4.70 9.70
Pinnacle 1.31 4.94 11.45
SBO 1.29 4.21 7.62
Superbet 1.40 4.40 7.40
Unibet 1.34 4.70 9.50
William Hill 1.33 4.50 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.32 ▼ -0.15
X 4.70 ▲ +0.78
2 9.70 ▲ +2.70

8 snapshots recorded, from .